There has been widespread speculation, complete with polls and betting pools, whether Trump will last six months or a year. There has been speculation whether he might resign, or be removed from office by Congress.
I do not have any inside information, and even if I did, I would not reveal it. However, I am not an amateur armchair analyst. I have been doing what I do for more than four decades, and in that time, I have met some interesting people. The word “interesting” is used in the broadest sense of the word. Suffice it to say that in some circles, they don’t care for me at all. During my almost half century of forensic work, I have encountered some of the most dangerous and cunning people you never want to meet. I have learned a lot from them.
That leads up to what I am going to say next. It is speculative, and my crystal ball is in the shop for repairs. However, I have a pretty good record when it comes to analyzing a situation and building a profile. This is how I see it.
Trump’s problem is that he cannot step down or resign. Impeachment or the 25th Amendment might even have drastic consequences for him far beyond removal from office. To borrow a line from an old Tennessee Ernie Ford song, Trump “owes his soul to the Company store.”
He could not borrow money anywhere. His FICO score must be in negative numbers. He stiffed Deutsche Bank for millions; I saw one report placing the figure at about $3 million. The only places he could borrow money was from a Russian bank and/or that bank in Cyprus. They were willing to lend him as much as he needed wanted. When one borrows from the Russian mob Mafia Bank, they have this very effective collection agency so that a return on their investment is assured.
I see in the news that he recently “sold” an apartment to a Chinese person, Xiao Yan Chen, who is allegedly connected to the Chinese intelligence community. Sale price, reportedly $15.8 million. According to Zillow, the apartment is worth about $14.3 million.
If Trump resigns, the people he owes will not get a return on their investment. They won’t like that.
If he is impeached or removed via the 25th Amendment, the collection agency is going to take that personally.
If he is indicted and tried for treason, that can’t possibly end well--in more ways than one.
Recall that we recently learned Gen. Michael Flynn was fired from his job as National Security Adviser when the news was leaked that he had been paid a half million dollars by Turkey. According to Bill Palmer of the Palmer Report, Flynn now finds himself in the position of Turkey demanding he return their money, since they did not get the services they paid for. The ball goes around and around, where it lands, nobody knows.
One other thing; the way that particular collection agency works, the debtor’s family is also regarded as collateral for the loan.
There is no way out for him. At least none that I can see.