The UK political world is in shock.
Update: Betting Markets now have Corbyn is now the favorite to be the next PM.
www.independent.co.uk/...
Here is the exit poll, and a model I have created which can be seen here.
How did Labour do it? In part it was a series of May mistakes, the most damaging one being about pensions.
If the exit poll is right, it is unclear if the Conservatives will be able to form a government.
Another shock: the collapse in Scotland of the SNP.
But in part it was a relentless focus on class and progressive politics. It was in part a response to two twin bombings that asked whether war is a solution.
It was ads like this:
This updates real time:
It is hard to put into perspective what Labour has accomplished. The table looks at elections over the past 50 years. This table UNDERSTATES the Labour comeback, because the exit poll suggests a 3-5 point Labour loss.
In 45 days Labour has gone from down 20 to down 3. It is without question the largest general election comeback anyone has ever seen.
I will be updating my count tonight, and will put up a live blow.
Update: The first two results: from Sunderland and Newcastle suggested the exit poll was looking too good for Labour. More recent seats have suggested it was right.
It needs to be emphasized that a small swing could easily switch 20 seats. England counts all the votes in a seat, and as a result it takes much longer to get a sense of how the result. Polls closed at 10 BST, and 2 hours later less than 10 results are known.