Here is an update on early voting in states that are hosting competitive statewide races this November. Following is from SOS sites through October 24. I’ve added links after certain states to experts who know a lot more about those locales than I do and offer more detailed breakdowns of the data.
Nevada
Nevada has both in-person early voting and mail-in absentee and provides a partisan breakdown across both methods in most counties.
TOTAL VOTE |
IN-PERSON |
|
|
MAIL-IN |
|
|
93,793 |
Dem |
82,639 |
42.5% |
Dem |
11,154 |
35.3% |
90,399 |
Rep |
75,373 |
38.7% |
Rep |
15,026 |
47.5% |
42,057 |
Other |
36,618 |
18.8% |
Other |
5,439 |
17.2% |
226,249*
|
Total |
194,630 |
|
Total |
31,619 |
|
* There are 12 additional votes not broken down by party and not included in this total
Link to the venerable Jon Ralston and his early voting blog for much more.
Florida
Florida has optional in-person voting in certain counties until October 27th when it is required to be offered statewide. Nevertheless the more populous counties are offering the option and reporting in-person numbers.
TOTAL VOTE |
IN-PERSON |
VOTE CAST
|
% TOTAL CAST
|
MAIL-IN
|
RETURNED |
% TOTAL RETURNED |
OUTSTANDING |
695,198 |
Dem |
168,650 |
42.1% |
Dem |
526,548 |
39.0% |
829,420 |
748,325 |
Rep |
165,695 |
41.4% |
Rep |
582,630 |
43.1% |
716,513 |
298,153 |
NPA* |
63,146 |
15.8% |
NPA |
235,007 |
17.4% |
445,389 |
10,342 |
Other |
3,094 |
0.8% |
Other |
7,248 |
0.5% |
12,825 |
1,752,018 |
|
400,585 |
|
|
1,351,433 |
|
2,004,147 |
* NPA=No Party Affiliation
For a lot more in-depth Florida analysis there is Poli Sci Professor Daniel Smith @electionsmith and Dem Political Advisor Steve Schale and his blog.
Arizona
The Secretary of State has an interesting “dashboard” that draws from different data sets to present their early voting information and some voter demographic characteristics. The site aggregates everything into a daily updated total of “Early Ballot Returns.”
|
EARLY BALLOT RETURNS |
|
|
DEMOGRAPHICS |
|
|
Dem |
249,377 |
32.8% |
Female |
49.7% |
|
Rep |
336,550 |
44.2% |
Median Age |
56 |
|
Unaffiliated & Minor |
175,468 |
23.0% |
Mean Age |
56.5 |
|
Total |
761,395 |
|
|
|
@Garret_Archer aka the AZ Data Guru goes deeper into the SOS site data, such as analyzing precinct level maps and congressional districts.
Iowa
Like Arizona Iowa allows in-person absentee voting. And like Arizona both in-person and mail-in ballots received are counted together.
|
EARLY BALLOT |
REQUESTED |
SENT |
RECEIVED |
% RECEIVED |
|
Dem |
186,934 |
186,472 |
115,835 |
44.9% |
|
Rep |
156,536 |
156,270 |
94,571 |
36.7% |
|
No Party |
88,062 |
87,837 |
46,032 |
17.9% |
|
Libertarian & Other |
2,347 |
2,340 |
1,176 |
0.5% |
|
Total |
433,879 |
432,919 |
257,614 |
|
Georgia
Georgia offers early in-person voting in various locales, along with mail-in absentee balloting. The SOS site does not disaggregate the data by party. It does provide the top 5 counties in terms of turnout, which is updated on an ongoing basis.
TOTAL CAST |
845,092 |
|
TOP 5 TURNOUT COUNTIES |
TOTAL VOTE |
% TOTAL |
In-Person |
|
|
Fulton |
110,553 |
13.1% |
Voted |
729,823 |
86.4% |
Gwinnett |
60,282 |
7.1% |
Absent/Mail-In |
|
|
DeKalb |
55,946 |
6.6% |
Returned |
115,269 |
13.6% |
Cobb |
32,767 |
3.9% |
Outstanding |
126,951 |
|
Henry |
23,669 |
2.8% |
Georgian Ryan Anderson has put together Georgia Votes with breakdowns along age, race, gender, comparative trend line. Very nice.
Texas
Texas is rather restrictive when it comes to who may vote by mail so the bulk of early voting in the Lone Star State must be done in-person. The results are tracked for the 30 largest counties in the state (which represents 12.3 million or about 78% of registered voters) and are not broken down by party.
TOTAL CAST
|
1,585,342 |
|
5 LARGEST COUNTIES
|
TOTAL VOTE |
% TOTAL
REGISTERED
|
In-Person |
|
|
Harris |
245,951 |
10.5% |
Cast |
1,344,741 |
84.8% |
Dallas |
179,875 |
13.5% |
By-Mail |
|
|
Tarrant |
142,494 |
9.6% |
Returned |
240,061 |
15.2% |
Bexar |
118,709 |
7.6% |
|
|
|
Travis |
97,324 |
14.8% |
The Texas Tribune has an Early Voting Page that graphs the data county-by-county with comparative benchmarks for 2016,2014, and 2012 elections (h/t txdoubledd).
Tennessee
Tennessee also has a list of specific statutory criteria to determine who may vote by mail-in ballot. Tennessee also combines the in-person vote totals with the mail-in ballots returned and does not break down the early vote by party. The SOS site prepares a comparison of early vote from the previous 2 comparable elections, the 2016 Presidential election and the 2014 Midterms, although apparently does not update it daily.
|
2018 VOTERS |
|
TOTAL |
DIFFERENCE |
% CHANGE |
COUNTIES AHEAD OF PACE |
Through |
720,583 |
2016 |
609,021 |
-93,064 |
-15.3% |
3 |
10/24 |
2014 |
137,687 |
+378,270 |
+274.7% |
95 |
Montana
Montana has in-person absentee voting whereby you can apply, receive, fill-out, and drop off an absentee ballot at a county election office. It will be opened and counted on election day with the rest of the mail-in ballots (as opposed to being immediately scanned, banked, and ready for an immediate vote dump as soon as the polls close on election day). Montana provides a daily updated spreadsheet of the ballots that have been requested and received broken down by county. That’s it.
|
NUMBER SENT |
NUMBER RECEIVED |
% RECEIVED |
|
410,113 |
157,145 |
38.3% |
Indiana
Indiana has in-person absentee voting as well as mail-in absentee allowed according to statutory criteria. Indiana’s Secretary of State does not seem to aggregate county level absentee ballot return data. It appears to be available through some county election boards but that’s too much for me to try to compile.
For these and other states not mentioned above a nationwide tracker is provided by Michael McDonald at the United States Election Project.