I’ve been tracking the Georgia early voting over the last 5-6 days, and the trend is definitely in favor of Abrams! Based on my analysis, there are 1.345 million people who have voted early in 2018. Roughly 30% have not voted in a primary in 2014, 2016, or 2018. Roughly 31% choose a Democratic ballot in the most recent primary in which they voted in 2014, 2016, or 2018, and roughly 39% chose a Republican ballot. The “no party” percent has been increasing daily while the gap between the R and D has been shrinking. If we assume that 63% of the “no party” voters vote Dem (average of the 68% from 2014 and 58% from 2016), then Abrams is only behind by about 1%, an improvement from 3 days ago of 4%.
There is a lot more encouraging data as well if people are interested!