Syracuse, N.Y. -- The Great Lakes region, including Upstate New York, will be among the first in the U.S. to have more heat waves due to climate change than to natural variability, a new study says.
Climate change will be the biggest driver of heat waves in the western U.S. by the late 2020s and in the Great Lakes region by the mid-2030s, the study found.
"These are the years that climate change outweighs natural variability as the cause of heat waves in these regions," said Hosmay Lopez, the lead author of the study and a meteorologist with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. "Without human influence, half of the extreme heat waves projected to occur in the future wouldn't happen."www.newyorkupstate.com/...
- Since 1900. average temperatures have increased by 2.0°F (1.1°C) in the U.S. Great Lakes region.
- By 2050, average air temperatures are projected to increase by 1.8 to 5.4°F (1 to 3°C).
- By 2100, average air temperatures are projected to increase by 3.6 to 11.2 °F (2 to 6.2°C).
- Winter temperatures have been rising faster than temperatures during other seasons
- glisa.umich.edu/...
New averages
Ontario Beach-Rochester sea water temperatures peak in the range 19 to 24°C (66 to 75°F) on around the 12th of August and are at their coldest on about the 10th of February, in the range 1 to 3°C (34 to 37°F). Ontario Beach-Rochester sea water temperatures are warmest in the second week of August.
Surf-forecast.com › breaks › seatemp
Great Lakes Water Quality Report
www.ijc.org/...
Study: Upstate NY among first to have most heat waves due to climate change
The study defined a heat wave as "three or more consecutive days when temperatures rose to levels among the top five hottest days of the year for a region."
The study was published today in the journal Nature Climate Change.
NASA
How is climate change affecting the Great Lakes?
CLEVELAND, Ohio -- Across the globe, climate change is increasing temperatures, spurring on extreme weather, harming ecosystems and raising sea levels. But what does it mean for the Great Lakes?
For the 30 million Americans and Canadians who live in the Great Lakes basin, climate change, primarily attributed to human activities increasing greenhouse gas emissions, is a real threat to the home of 84 percent of North America’s surface fresh water.
Rising temperatures could lower water levels in the lakes, intensify harmful algal blooms and threaten fish and wildlife.
Here’s what the research says about how the globe's shifting climate affects these vast bodies of water in terms of temperature, precipitation, extreme weather, water quality and harmful algal blooms, fish and wildlife, ice coverage, water levels, shipping, tourism and recreation.
-- Kelly Reardon, cleveland.com meteorologist
cleveland.com/...
Climate Warming:
Rochester, NY Monthly Weather
weather.com/...
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2018 is on pace to be the 4th-hottest year on record
According to data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), 2018 is on pace to be the fourth hottest year on record. Only three other years have been hotter: 2015, 2016 and 2017.
The upward trend is not lost on experts, who say the rising temperature is a clear indicator of global warming.edition.cnn.com/...
Drought & Deluge in 2018
NASA:THE GREAT LAKES
visibleearth.nasa.gov/...
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