Yesterday Kos posted Net Favorabilty numbers using the Civiqs polling data. The narrative was that Sanders had very average numbers for net favorablity. However in checking two other polls by Morning Consult and Monmouth University, they show very different numbers. Sanders comes in second place behind Biden in both polls. See below.
Was the methodology Kos used flawed or is the Civiqs’ data wrong?
Morning Consult Poll dated 4/29/19
Morning Consult
|
favorable |
unfavorable |
net |
sanders |
74 |
16 |
58 |
biden |
76 |
14 |
62 |
warren |
56 |
17 |
39 |
harris |
49 |
12 |
37 |
o’rourke |
45 |
12 |
33 |
booker |
44 |
12 |
32 |
gillibrand |
32 |
14 |
18 |
castro |
27 |
11 |
16 |
buttigieg |
37 |
10 |
27 |
MONMOUTH 4/23/19
|
FAVORABILITY |
UNFAVORABILITY |
NET |
BIDEN |
72 |
16 |
56 |
SANDERS |
65 |
21 |
44 |
WARREN |
51 |
19 |
32 |
O’ROURKE |
43 |
12 |
31 |
KLOBUCHAR |
27 |
13 |
14 |
BOOKER |
40 |
16 |
24 |
HARRIS |
50 |
10 |
40 |
BUTTIGIEG |
35 |
6 |
29 |
In contrast, look at the numbers Kos published yesterday from Civiqs. Why is there such a discrepancy between Civiqs and the other 2 polls?
Kos Civiqs Poll
|
REGISTERED VOTERS |
DEMOCRATS |
DEM NET |
|
(Approve)-(Disapprove) |
JOE BIDEN |
42-45 |
78-11 |
+67 |
ELIZABETH WARREN |
35-50 |
67-12 |
+55 |
KAMALA HARRIS |
34-48 |
64-11 |
+53 |
CORY BOOKER |
29-48 |
56-14 |
+42 |
BERNIE SANDERS |
34-52 |
60-21
|
+39 |
AMY KLOBUCHAR |
18-42 |
32-19 |
+13 |
KIRSTEN GILLIBRAND |
16-48 |
28-24 |
+4 |
edit: Here’s a chart comparing the Civiqs, Morning Consult, and Monmouth.
Comparison
|
civiqs |
morning consult |
monmouth |
biden |
67 |
62 |
56 |
warren |
55 |
39 |
32 |
harris |
53 |
37 |
40 |
booker |
42 |
32 |
24 |
sanders |
39 |
58 |
44 |
klobuchar |
13 |
16 |
14 |