I’ll let the LA Times explain:
The findings from a UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll, done for The Times, provide bad news for some of the contenders, starting with Sen. Kamala Harris.
Harris needs strong support in her home state’s primary if she is to have a shot at the party’s presidential nomination. The poll finds her in fourth place, albeit narrowly, trailing former Vice President Joe Biden and Sens. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and Bernie Sanders of Vermont.
Harris draws consistent support from across demographic groups and ideological lines and is widely cited as a second choice by voters, but she has no constituency that she dominates, the poll found….
The top three candidates each have a distinct appeal. Biden gets about half his support from self-described moderate and conservative Democrats; Warren gets about half her backing from those who call themselves “very liberal.”
Sanders trails Warren among voters on the left but far outpaces his rivals among voters younger than 30, despite being the oldest candidate in the race. He gets 39% of young voters, compared with 19% for Warren and 9% for Biden.
Harris has a potential lifeline as the candidate voters list most often as their second choice. She gets that nod from 21% of the primary voters. Warren also does well on that measure, at 17%. Biden and Sanders are at 12%, suggesting they may have more trouble expanding their appeal.
No cross-tabs yet. There’s a lot in there on issues preference as well as urgency on proceeding on various issues, asking about “should the next President move immediately on [X]” vs “take steps in the direction” vs “don’t do it.”
Support ranged from 88% for immediately adopting background checks for firearms sales to 61% for a Green New Deal. Medicare for All does not poll that well in a more progressive state where you’d expect that it might: only 48% of Dem primary voters “said they would like to see immediate adoption of Medicare for all, 43% said they would prefer the next president take steps in that direction, and 9% said they opposed the idea.”
Much to analyze here in this crucial primary state. Dig in.
edited: We now have full cross-tabs and other stuff. (2:56 PM EDT). Two samplings:
