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Twitter
"Today marks the official start of #HurricaneSeason. Taking into account that the last five years have been the five warmest years on record, we take a look at what to expect."
1:05 PM · Jun 1, 2019
Hurricane Season 2019: Global Warming, Forecasts, and Probabilities
On May 21, the first named storm of 2019, Andrea, was recorded on the north Atlantic. This makes 2019 the fifth consecutive year that a named storm has formed before the official start of Atlantic hurricane season.
Something caught my eye when I read that: the number five. That’s because, according to NASA, 2018 was the 4th warmest year in a continued warming trend since record keeping began in the 1880’s, with temperatures 1.5 degrees Fahrenheit (0.83 degrees Celsius) warmer than the 1951 to 1980 mean. And with it, a string of five consecutive years have been recorded as the five warmest on record. I will say this again: the last five years have been the five warmest years on record./…
But it is not just the wind and strength of a hurricane that are amplified by climate change: global warming can also increase the amount of rain that hurricanes bring. Warmer air holds more moisture (read: more water to fall when it rains), and global average temperature is currently about 1.8°F (1°C) warmer than it was in the late 1800’s. In fact, a study found that the record rainfall from Harvey was roughly three times more likely and 15 percent more intense than in a world without global warming. Another study found that higher ocean heat content and sea surface temperatures make hurricanes such as Harvey “more intense, bigger, and longer lasting and greatly increase their flooding rains.”
Furthermore, research suggests that there has been an increase in intense hurricane activity over the past 40 years, and since the mid-1970s the number of strong hurricanes reaching categories 3 and above has roughly doubled.blog.ucsusa.org/..
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Twitter
(From 3:54 PM · Sep 6, 2018)
Who are the Union of Concerned Scientists?
ucsusa.org
Who We Are:
The Union of Concerned Scientists is a national nonprofit organization founded 50 years ago by scientists and students at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology who sought to use the power of science to address global problems and improve people’s lives.
Our Mission
The Union of Concerned Scientists puts rigorous, independent science to work to solve our planet's most pressing problems. Joining with people across the country, we combine technical analysis and effective advocacy to create innovative, practical solutions for a healthy, safe, and sustainable future.
Today, we are a group of nearly 250 scientists, analysts, policy and communication experts dedicated to that purpose.
You Can’t Ignore the Future: 5 Reasons Climate Science Looks Beyond 2040
- Due to Earth’s carbon cycle, carbon dioxide (CO2) released by burning coal, oil, and gas today will be trapped in the atmosphere for decades to thousands of years. The more that is released the longer it lingers in the atmosphere (see figure 1).
- Climate change is largely “baked in” over the next decade and starts to diverge after that (see figure 2). This means that without near-term changes, some of the climate impacts we would see would be irreversible even if we decrease atmospheric carbon dioxide later on in the century.
- Governments around the world, including the US and the federal agencies that comprise the US Global Change Research Program (including the Department of the Interior, of which the USGS is a part), monitor and report the human activities that overload our atmosphere with carbon, other heat-trapping gases, and aerosols. These climate calculations ensure business leaders; planners; and local, state and national governmental leaders have the most up-to-date tools needed to make informed decisions on behalf of people living in the US.
- Read more:
- blog.ucsusa.org/...
The Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS)
is a nonprofit science advocacy organization based in the United States. The UCS membership includes many private citizens in addition to professional scientists. Anne Kapuscinski, Sherman Fairchild professor of sustainability science in the Environmental Studies Program at Dartmouth College, currently chairs the UCS Board of Directors, having replaced James J. McCarthy, Professor of Biological Oceanography at Harvard University and past president of the American Association for the Advancement of Science in 2015.[1]en.m.wikipedia.org/…
One of the co-founders was physicist and Nobel laureate Dr. Henry Kendall, who served for many years as chairman of the board of UCS. In 1977, the UCS sponsored a "Scientists' Declaration on the Nuclear Arms Race" calling for an end to nuclear weapons tests and deployments in the United States and Soviet Union.[4] In response to the Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI), the UCS sponsored a petition entitled "An Appeal to Ban Space Weapons".[5]
"Confronting the Realities of Climate Change The consequences of global warming are already here"
The consequences of global warming are here today. From sea level rise and flooding on the East Coast to wildfires and drought in the Rocky Mountain West, communities around the country are confronting the growing consequences of global warming.
The science shows that global warming results from too much carbon in the atmosphere, released when we use gasoline to drive our cars or burn coal, oil, or gas to heat our homes and power our lives. The fossil fuel industry continues to try to confuse the public about the real science of climate change, and Congress has dragged its feet on the issue. But UCS is fighting back, working with state and local leaders across the country who are rolling up their sleeves to reduce global warming emissions and to make our communities stronger, safer, and more resilient to the consequences of climate change.www.ucsusa.org/...
TELL THE DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL COMMITTEE: HOLD A CLIMATE DEBATE ACTIONNETWORK.ORG/...
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Inspired by Governor Jay Inslee who prioritizes defeating climate change first and foremost, this group embraces his positive message that the same Americans who put humankind on the moon can defeat climate change and thrive while doing it. As the first generation to feel the sting of climate change, we accept the mantle of being the last generation who can defeat it.
FACEBOOK :https://m.facebook.com/InsleeClimate-First-346799152621048
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Governor Jay Inslee will be at the June 26 DNC debates
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Monday, Jun 3, 2019 · 7:40:43 PM +00:00
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Angmar
Hurricane season is here. Brace yourself for up to 4 major storms in the Atlantic
www-m.cnn.com/...
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The First (Very Early) Forecast for the 2019 Hurricane Season Is Here
Here's what researchers are tentatively anticipating this year.
There’s no doubt about it: The past three years have been rough on hurricane-prone regions. From Hurricane Matthew rocking the Carolinas in 2016 to Irma’s devastation in 2017 and Michael’scrushing of the Florida panhandle in 2018, it might seem like the pattern of Mother Nature’s destruction is never-ending.
Monday, Jun 3, 2019 · 7:43:45 PM +00:00
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Angmar
Hurricane season outlook: 2019 forecast released by Colorado ...
Here's the first 2019 outlook from scientists. It has been just four months since the last hurricane season ended, but it's already time to look ahead to the next. ...In 2018, 15 named storms developed in the Atlantic Ocean: eight were hurricanes, and two were major hurricanes.Apr 4, 2019
https://www.washingtonpost.com › weather