A June poll by Lake Research Partners (paid for by the Denney campaign) suggests that her overall support in the district might be growing, significantly. Among likely voters in District 1 given only “ballot designations and party affiliations,” Denney trailed by five points, a gain of four from 2018. However, among voters also supplied with balanced positive profiles for each candidate, it’s an even race. She came out top by five points with already-informed voters and by eight points among respondents presented with positive and negative messaging on the candidates.
This is in a R+11 district. Denney narrowed that margin by 2 points when she first ran in 2018 as a relatively unknown. Now she’s gained even more on LaMalfa as voters are finally waking up to him being a do-nothing congressman for his constituents (unless they are his rich GOP farming pals.) Also, that poll was back in June, before dumbster doubled down against mask wearing (then caught COVID-19 himself), and other GOP politicians like LaMalfa balked at state ordered COVID-19 mandates for businesses and schools. Now GOP heavy Shasta county is experiencing a huge spike in COVID-19 cases. That poll was before DeJoyless cranked up his sabotage of the USPS that harmed so many people in rural areas who depend on snail mail.
It’s likely that much of that fatigue comes from growing frustrations with President Trump and, by association, the members Congress who’ve stood by his side—such as LaMalfa, who according to FiveThirtyEight.com has voted in line with Trump 94.4 percent of the time. Overall support for congressional Republicans is declining in line with Trump’s sliding poll numbers, and FiveThirtyEight shows that voters currently favor a Democratic Congress over a Republican one by 14 points.
Denney’s campaign has been running some hard hitting ads since then.
Ads Like These Should Be Run Against GOP Candidates in Ag Areas
* The LaMalfa family are rice farmers. They have water rights that were “grandfathered” in generations ago. But instead of using the ground water only for their farms, as required by law, they want to sell the water outright to buyers like Nestle.
audreyforcongress.com
Go Team Blue!