Yesterday, in a diary titled “Run Up The Score!”, I discussed the political science concept known as “reverse coat-tails”.
It’s the idea that a more popular or resonant candidate can lift their teammates (of the same party or persuasion) above what their vote totals would otherwise be. Frequently, these “coat-tails” are only understood as coming from the top of the ballot to those underneath. There is another school of thought that believes that coat-tails can go and do go in the opposite direction. They’re referred to as “reverse coat-tails”. For instance, a popular and well-known local candidate could carry a Democratic nominee for governor over the finish line by driving turnout in their area and validating that candidate.
Who knew the premise of the piece would prove operative less than 24 hours later and that a candidate whom I have talked breathlessly about this year, Kathy Lewis, is actually running ahead of Biden in her home district! Biden trails Trump by 2.3% while Kathy only trails her opponent by 1.3%? … And this is from what is considered to be a Republican-leaning poll!
Kathy Lewis not only can give Democrats the crucial 20th vote in the State Senate, she can also provide Joe Biden with a crucial turnout boost that could make all of the difference next Tuesday night. Winning the state of Florida by a 3 to 4 point margin could be the difference between elation on Election Night and waiting for weeks and having the election stolen à la Bush v. Gore 2000.
Good news for our team: Joe Biden was already planning to come to Hillsborough on Thursday!
Whether or not Team Joe shows up or shows Kathy any love, we sure can. Light her ActBlue page up! Let’s bring this home!
--------------------------------------------------
I’m Matt Rogers. I’m a candidate, too. However, my election isn’t until 2021.
(Please do not divert a single dollar you intend to give to win this election to me.
We’ll take care of 2021 after we win this election.)
VA HD 47 - Matt Rogers
WEBSITE FACEBOOK TWITTER
DONATE