The New York Times / Siena final polls of four swing states are out.
www.nytimes.com/…
Biden leads 52-41 in Wisconsin. Given his double digit lead in Michigan, he needs one more big state. The poll shows him leading 49-43 in Pennsylvania, the same 49-43 margin in Arizona and 47-44 in Florida. As the article notes:
Mr. Biden’s performance across the electoral map appears to put him in a stronger position heading into Election Day than any presidential candidate since at least 2008, when in the midst of a global economic crisis Barack Obama captured the White House with 365 Electoral College votes and Mr. Biden at his side.
The margins of error range from 3.2 in WI/FL to 2.4 in PA.
The article adds:
Mr. Trump has continued to hold onto most of the coalition that elected him in the first place, made up chiefly of rural conservatives and white voters who did not attend college. In Florida, the president appears to have improved his position somewhat with Hispanic voters over the last four years, but he has slipped significantly with college-educated whites there.
More broadly, Mr. Trump is facing an avalanche of opposition nationally from women, people of color, voters in the cities and the suburbs, young people, seniors and, perhaps most significantly, new voters. In all four states, voters who did not participate in 2016, but who have already voted this time or plan to do so, said they support Mr. Biden by wide margins. That group includes both infrequent voters and young people who were not yet eligible to vote four years ago.