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The Daily Kos Elections guide to every key presidential swing state in 2020.
The Daily Kos Elections Nov. 3, 2020 poll closing times map.
New thread here.
Florida essentially all tied up, with still the blood red panhandle left to count. Not sure there are enough votes remaining in Broward, etc. to pull Biden past the influx Trump is about to receive.
South Carolina has been called for Trump. Again, no surprise. So far, everything is meshing with polls pretty closely.
AP throwing out a raft of new calls with the close of the polls at 8 ET
Illinois, Maryland, New Jersey, Maryland, Connecticut, Massachusetts for Biden.
Oklahoma, Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama for Trump.
No surprises so far.
Trump was momentarily ahead at 82% of the votes in Florida, now Biden is ahead again with 83% in. However, most of those panhandle counties are still out there.
With 87% of Florida results in, the blood red panhandle counties are coming through for Trump, giving him an almost 1% lead at this point.
AP has added Rhode Island into Biden’s column (or it’s possible I missed it earlier).
Early numbers in North Carolina are looking good for Biden. It could be the first state to swap columns, unless a call is made on one of the Upper Midwest states first.
Biden remains ahead in Ohio with almost half the votes counted, but the rural areas of the state are pretty much that uncounted half.
With 45% of the vote in from Texas, Biden is ahead. However (I know, there’s always a “however”) almost all the vote is in from Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio, and there is a lot of rural Texas out there.
With 55% of the vote in, Texas is all but tied up. There are still both suburban and rural counties to come in, including the area around Austin, and there remain a lot of border counties that went blue last time. Stay tuned.
In North Carolina, Biden appears to be significantly overperforming at the moment. However, the results are somewhat confusing because they’re heavily affected by the early vote results. As more Election Day results come in, it can be expected some of that edge will be diluted, and it remains unclear whether Biden has done enough in NC to flip the state.
Ohio continues to be the puzzler at the moment. Unlike North Carolina, most of the vote counted there was not early vote. With 55% in, Biden has an 11% edge and there are still about half the votes out in the bluest counties.
With 73% of the vote in, Biden continues to hold a 4% edge in North Carolina. On the map there are not a lot of red rural counties still outstanding. However, it’s not so much geographic data that’s missing, it’s chronological. Three-quarters of the vote that has been counted so far has been early vote. It’s still difficult to tell whether Biden’s early vote totals will hold up as the remaining 27% of vote, almost all of it Election Day vote, is added in.
Here come a bunch of closures. Expect some new calls ...
AP has officially called Indiana for Trump … not sure what took so long. AP has also called New York for Biden.
Still no movement from 2016 states.
Wyoming, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Nebraska have been called for Trump.
Arkansas and Louisiana have been called for Trump. Again, nothing unexpected.
AP has called New Mexico for Joe Biden.
North Carolina is up to 77%, Biden’s lead is down to 3%, but the remaining votes seem to be about equally split between blue and red counties. Still a big shrug.
Biden’s edge in Ohio is down to 6%, but there are still a lot of votes left in blue counties, and unlike other states, Ohio is not heavily weighted by early votes.
Julietta Henry, Milwaukee County Board of Elections Director, just announced at the county courthouse that the final results from the presidential election will not be done earlier than 5 AM Wednesday. @journalsentinel— Meg Jones (@MegJonesJS) November 4, 2020
Julietta Henry, Milwaukee County Board of Elections Director, just announced at the county courthouse that the final results from the presidential election will not be done earlier than 5 AM Wednesday. @journalsentinel