A new national Fox News poll finds Joe Biden with a 48% to 40% lead over President Donald Trump.
Which according to CNN, MSNBC, YOUR Brain! Biden is now not only beating Trump 2020, he’s beating Hilary 2016.
Look I know we are all still shell shocked by the 2016 election. These entries are my opinion, based on all the projections and polls available. I am not trying to spread Complacency and I think we still need to work like hell to make these numbers stick. In the past week me and my friends have been petitioning our families and asking them to support Biden. We have also been gathering petitions for down ballot campaigns.
Regardless the data is showing something wildly different than what us Democrats are usually panicking over. Chiefly that we can stop compensating for our complacency in 2016. So many of us from the Press to Party officials are inflating Trump’s chances because they don’t want to be stunned like last time.
As CNN’s Harry Enten said on sunday
Link below
CNN LINK
“Almost any time I explain that Biden's leading Trump, someone will inevitably bring up "but what about 2016." That's why this week marks an important milestone for the Biden campaign.
It's one of the first times during the election year that Biden was clearly running ahead of Hillary Clinton's 2016 pace in the matchup against Trump.Four years ago, Trump closed the national gap quickly with Clinton as he was vanquishing Republican rivals Ted Cruz and John Kasich from the presidential race. Clinton's average lead shrank from 10 points during the first half of April to 6 points in the second half in April to 4 points in the first half in May to a mere 1 point in polls completed four years ago between May 16-May 23.”
But its even deeper than that Biden is currently performing better than Obama in 2012, I am naturally a very cautious person when it comes to data. But, I’ve been making maps since 2004, and I’ve only ever seen Democratic numbers like this and that was in the fall of 2008
A new Quinnipiac University national poll released last week has Joe Biden at 50% and Donald Trump at 39% with registered voters. Biden's lead is now 3 points more than it was in the Q-poll a month ago. He is in his basement and he is beating the President. This says way more about Donald Trump than Joe Biden.
A New poll in UT: Trump 44, Biden 41 (8% “third party”; 5% “don’t know”). Five points in Freaking UTAH people, Kansas Senate race is competitive, in the last 40 polls Trump has only won two, he’s underwater in every swing state he won in 2016. At what point do we become optimistic? At what point do we treat 2016 for what it was?
To quote the great DailyKos user HamNEgger
Honestly, it just seems like so many people can’t remember elections before 2016 as if it’s a standard we should get used to. I can only imagine what it was like for Democrats who had to live through the Republican landslides of the 1980s. Now that would a time for panic-commenting. 2016 was was just a confluence of so many things that are not guaranteed to happen again anytime soon.
Biden is with 2.5 in Texas according to polling averages, he has hit 5 points in Florida, and we’re terrified that Trump is going to win Penn by four votes. The data just isn’t there to confirm the possibility of another Trump miracle. People are missing the real story of 2016. We ran a bad campaign, we have a continual lead that was very shaky, we were defined early, and many in the party were indifferent. None of that is the act now. Trump’s hold on many red states is highly weak compared to other Republicans, he is on defense in several red states. He is pouring money into Florida, Georgia, Penn, and Iowa. And its not making a difference.
He has a very bad record, his daily remarks are making him irrelevant and its time Democrats stop propping him up.
When do we start acting like winners and focus on enthusiasm? I don’t think it breeds complacency by being optimistic and acknowledging that we are continually winning in the polls.
And there we are. We don’t need to take this for granted, we need to earn this victory. But, we also need to stop being worried about another Trump Miracle.
In fact you could say our continuing defense of a possible further Miracle could actually be aiding the President in his efforts to suppress the vote. Pollsters are stunned that which each new poll Trump is losing the election, yet people still seem to think he’s going to win. This is defeatism on a grand scale.
Currently the President’s efforts to curb mail in voting is just a new attempt of voter suppression. We already have a victory to maintain and to protect. We all know he is going to do whatever he can to steal this election. He is already claiming its going to be rigged, which should tell you what in house polls he’s seeing. He is now only spending money in defensive states, all Blue states are being left alone. These are all huge signs.
I know like the ending of Sixth Sense, everyone is now saying they saw 2016 coming. But come on, we really could have seen this coming. Hilary was so unpopular. All my friends and co workers who would walk on glass for Obama, didn’t even vote for her. I know its anecdotally. But, I’m sure all of you have similar stories.
And you know what? All those people I know who voted Green last time, who hated Hilary, who were silent after the 2016 election, who regretted their votes by 2018. They are all voting for Biden. They are all keeping their mouths shut and sharing his posts. Many of these friends of mine are self professed socialists. They are planning on voting for Biden. Why? The Asshole we have now.
2020 is going to be different from 2016. Its okay to admit it.
Please let me know what you think. Have you any fears of 2020? Why did we lose in 2016? Why are any of you afraid this time around? What can we do to curb people’s fears that this election will be stolen.