Seems like it was just yesterday — though it probably was a few weeks ago — when I saw a fair amount of speculation about the possibility that Trump would find a way to quit the race, in view of bleak, worsening polls. With that in mind, I’ll just point out a recent trend documented by 538.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/…
July 10th: Biden was up 9.6 nationally.
July 17th: Biden’s lead was 9.0
July 20th: Biden’s lead was 8.8
July 23rd: BIden’s lead is 7.7
The sky is not falling, but my own personal guess is that the current trend is going to continue for a bit longer, and that Biden’s lead will stabilize in the 5-6 point spread.