We see a lot of stories showing that Joe Biden is favored to win the election in November. This morning on FiveThirtyEight, he has a 76% chance of winning. I thought I’d translate those odds into something we’re more familiar with as Americans.
I looked up win probability by point spread, and as of this morning Joe Biden is a 7 point favorite.
In most of the games where you have a 7 point favorite, they’ll win the game, but it’s by no means a sure thing. Today, there are 5 teams that are roughly 7 pt favorites, and at least one of them is likely to lose. Since Trump is the incumbent, this is also a road game for Biden against a dirty team.
We should take nothing for granted. We need to plan, volunteer, donate, and VOTE!
Be confident, not complacent. Let’s outwork the Trumpers and deliver a blowout!