I don’t see how we can deny that polling has “tightened” some. One indicator is the paucity of posts here celebrating great polls.
And this is a very scary time. Never been so scared in all my life. (Yep … white privilege)
But to this layman’s way of thinking, the polling numbers to watch are those for our side. Do they go down?
The GOP faithful were always going to come home for the most part. And this SCOTUS deal is a Right to Life crowd’s wet dream. As an offset to Trump’s repulsiveness, this has been a tremendous boost to their enthusiasm. The Evil Empire’s numbers are almost certain to stabilize and grow a bit.
What matters is our side. Are our numbers fading? I don’t think they are, but I am not a poll watcher.
The key number is our side. GOTV. As ever, so now. With Biden at around 50%, I think we will prevail.
But a huge tsunami is perhaps not as likely as it was a week ago. Some of those possible pickup states may slide back out of reach due to SCOTUS fever.
Despair is the enemy. Keep marching.