Welcome to OGGoldy’s 2021 Minnesota Legislature redistricting prediction map. These maps were done using DRA post census block data, and are done as though the courts will do them (as this is inevitably going to be a court map). I’ll give a brief rundown of how these districts compare with the D-R breakdown of the new districts. For the most part I kept the traditional typewriter outstate, typewriter suburbs, N-S Minneapolis, NS St. Paul numbering configuration. The lines on the fringes of outstate and metro are a bit blurred to account for population and district size. Beyond that, sit down and enjoy!
The Current districts can be found here (PDF Warning)
https://www.gis.leg.mn/pdf/leg2012/2012combo.pdf
My map can be found here.
https://davesredistricting.org/join/36e82dab-8100-4b83-95f3-7cbcf44f5c38
District 1 (~Old 1): Northwest Minnesota. This area bloats due to massive population loss. 1A takes it all of Lake of the Woods County and more of Pennington. 1B takes in half of Clearwater. Burkel, Kiel and Johnson all Rs, all live in their existing districts. Current 2A Rep Matt Grossel also gets put into 1A, potentially setting up an awkward primary between Burkel and Grossel, though Grossel would likely move to Beltrami County, where the bulk of his seat is and will be. 2B also double bunks Kiel with 2B Rep Steve Green (both are residents of sparsely populated Polk County)
House 1A: 61-34 R
House 1B: 59-36 R
District 2 (~Old 2A and 5B): This district lies directly to the east of SD1 in NW Minnesota. To accommodate the expansion of next-door District 1, 2A becomes almost all of Beltrami County, and 2B becomes almost all of Itasca County. These lines are a lot cleaner than existing districts. Matt Grossel could move to 2A to keep his district, though Matt Bliss currently lives in 2A as well. Spencer Igo lives in 2B in this map, as does Senator Justin Eichorn, all Rs in a once blue area, but having rapidly flipped in the last 5 years.
House 2A: 48-46 R
House 2B: 52-43 R
District 3: (~Old 3A and 6B: Welcome to the northern side of the Iron Range and the BWCA / Arrowhead. Senator Tom Bakk (I) lives here, as well as Dem State Reps Rob Ecklund and Dave Lislegard in 3A and 3B respectively.
House 3A: 49-46 D
House 3B: 51-44 D
District 4 (~Old 6A, and parts of 11A and 3B): Still in the iron range, and the area surrounding Duluth, but not in Duluth proper. All Dem delegation in the area currently. Julie Sandstede has 4A to herself, but 4B double bunks Mary Murphy and Mike Sundin, as those two live REALLY close to eachother in the western Duluth suburbs. Senator Dave Tomassoni (D/I) lives here as well.
House 4A: 50-44 D
House 4B: 54-41 D
District 5 (~Old 7A, 7B, and part of 3B): Duluth. It’s very blue, and it’s not getting a larger population. Jennifer Schultz and Liz Olsen keep their districts, and Senator Jen McEwen is also in there.
House 5A: 64-30 D
House 5B: 69-25 D
District 6 (~Old 4A and 4B). This is Moorhead and the immediate surrounding area. The way to make this area less ugly is to trade the current 4B tendril into Detroit Lakes with the areas to the north. It doesn’t change the partisanship much moving it like half a point to the right, but it makes it a lot cleaner, especially as SD4 is the ONLY district in the northern 60% of the state that is OVERpopulated. Dems Heather Keeler, Paul Marquart and Kent Eken all live here and in their predecessor seats.
House 6A: 55-38 D
House 6B: 51-43 R
District 7 (~Old 2B, 5A with parts of 2A, 4B, 5B and 9A). This district basically cleans up what are currently ugly and underpopulated districts and makes them essentially Hubbard + Half of Becker as 7A and Cass County as 7B. All Republican delegation here. Senator Paul Utke is the only Senator in the district. But with how close Carrie Ruud and Paul Gazelka live to eachother and the border, I wouldn’t be surprised to see either or both of them double or triple bunked here on the Senate seat. 7B contains the home of John Poston, but 7A would be incumbentless in spite of having both Park Rapids and Detroit Lakes in it. The most logical solution would be one of the double bunked GOP Reps in districts 1 and 2 to move a little further away from eachother and have one of them grab this seat for themselves, or maybe a local pol would take the chance to jump in from one of the population centers in the seat.
House 7A: 61-35 R
House 7B: 60-35 R
District 8: (~Old 10A and 10B). Almost coterminous with the current SD10 which is Crow Wing County and Aitkin County. 8A is essentially Brainard and 8B is the rest. Both Senator Paul Gazelka and Carrie Ruud live here, as they are neighbors. Gazelka stepped down as GOP Leader in an anticipated run for governor, so this will give Ruud this seat for herself. GOP Reps Josh Heintzeman and Dale Lueck get their seats essentially unchanged other than adjustments for population.
House 8A: 61-35 R
House 8B: 59-36 R
District 9 (Old 8A and 8B). Otter Tail County and some smaller areas like Wilkenson Counties to make up the remaining population. Otter Tail County has long been a Republican bastion in the state, and this map doesn’t change much except remove Alexandria from the district. The last point likely won’t be thrilling to Bill Ingerbrigtson or Mary Franson, who currently live on the edge of the existing southern tendril down to Alexandria now. Both would likely move to Ottertail County though. Officially the SD9 here is open, as is 9B. 9A has Jordan Rasmussen in his currently district more or less.
House 9A: 58-37 R
House 9B: 67-29 R
District 10 (Old 9A, 9B and part of 15B): Morrison County, Benton County, and most of Hubbard County. While clean, and similar to the existing district 9, the more tendrilly parts of the old district 9 are where the incumbents seem to live. Gazelka would most likely run here if he were to abandon his gubernatorial aspirations. Ron Kresha keeps his Little Falls based house Seat, but the other one doesn’t really appear to have a natural successor, as Poston would be happier in his newly drawn seat up north.
House 10A: 68-28 R
House 10B: 65-30 R
District 11 (~15A, 11B, and part of 11A): In spite of essentially merging two halves of an existing Senate seat, the lines are clean and incumbents are clear, though the Senate primary will be something to watch. Andrew Mathews and Jason Rarick both live solidly in the district and bases are in the portions of their seats put together here due to population loses in northern Minnesota. The House seats are less interesting as Sondra Erickson and Nathan Nelson both get to keep their seats 85-90% intact.
House 11A: 54-41 R
House 11B: 63-32 R
District 12 (~12A, 12B, parts of 8B and 17A): Traverse, Big Stone, Swift, Pope, Stevens Douglas and Grant counties, all kept whole. Combined they are within a couple hundred people, they are a full senate seat that’s as close to square as physically possible, so I really see this seat being a thing. 12A takes in Alexandria, which added the southern fringe of existing SD8, and includes their senator Bill Ingebrigtsen and 8B Rep Mary Franson. I doubt Ingebrigtsen runs here, as Torrey Westrom would obliterate him in a primary, as this is solidly his seat. Franson is an electoral liability with few friends, so while she is the only State Rep to live in this version of 12A, current 12A Rep Paul Anderson would move across the county line to beat her in a primary instead of staying double bunked current 12A incumbent Jeff Backer in the new 12A.
House 12A: 61-35 R
House 12B: 56-40 R
District 13 (~Old 14A and 14B, part of 13B): This is St. Cloud. GOP Rep Tama Theis, and DFL Rep Dan Wolgamott keep their seats here, along with DFL Senator Aric Putnam. The shape file for St. Cloud is absolute garbage, so I imagine the lines will end up cleaner than this.
House 13A: 52-41 D
House 13B: 47.1-46.6 R
District 14 (~Old 13A, 13B and part of 12B): This is the non-St. Cloud portions of Stearns County, and it does not leave Stearns County. Senator Jeff Howe and Reps Lisa Demuth and Tim O’Driscoll each get comfy and familiar seats.
House 14A: 69-27 R
House 14B: 61-34 R
District 15 (~Old 30B, and parts of 15A, 15B, 14B, and 31A): Sherburne County was split to hell in 2012, and is now mostly reunited in a single Senate district. 15B is essentially the old 30B, and Paul Novotny will be happy there. Shane Mekeland gets a custom-built district for him in 15A as well. Senator Mary Kiffmeyer will also be content with an all-Sherburne county district. This effectively moves Sherburne County into a purely outstate seat numerically speaking instead of currently being in metro and outstate seats.
House 15A: 58-36 R
House 15B: 59-35 R
District 16 (~Old 32A, 32B, and part of 31B): This is being renumbered as an outstate seat, as it’s Isanti and Chisago Counties, which are far more outstate than they are metro, and sit in CD-8 anyways. Isanti County is kept whole with a sliver of Chisago for population in 16A. 16B is almost all of the rest of Chisago County, with only a tiny portion along the Washington County excluded due to it being too many people. Republican House Minority Leader Kurt Daut gets his Isanti County seat, and Anne Neu gets the Chisago County seats. Mark Koran is the only senator in the district.
House 16A: 62-32 R
House 16B: 58-36 R
District 17(~Old 16A, 16B, and part: 22A). The southern bank of the Minnesota river valley. Chris Swedzinski and Paul Torkelson get slightly cleaner and geographically larger versions of their current seats. Senator Gary Dahms is also in the same boat.
House 17A: 58-37 R
House 17B: 61-34 R
District 18 (~Old 17A, 17B, and part of 18B): Keeping Chippewa, Kandiyohi, Renville and Sibley counties whole gets to within a few hundred votes of a Senate district with zero county splits between SDs. This seems like a no brainer. Tim Miller and Dave Baker live really close to eachother, but one could move to represent the other district. Senator Andrew Lang gets by without being double bunked.
House 18A: 56-39 R
House 18B: 61-34 R
District 19 (~Old 18A, and parts of 18B and 29A): Meeker and McLeod Counties, plus the sparsely populated western Wright County. Reps Dean Urdahl and Glenn Gruenhagen get their own seats, and Senator Scott Newman doesn’t get any unwanted company either.
House 19A: 62-33 R
House 19B: 64-30 R
District 20 (~Old 22A, 22B, and parts of 23A and 23B). This is the southwestern corner of the state, which saw the largest population drops in Minnesota. The district balloons to take it all the way east to Fairmont just to gobble up enough people. Reps Joe Schomacker and Rod Hamilton are both technically drawn into 20A, but one of them would likely move across the border (more likely Hamilton) to run in the open 20B. Senator Bill Weber is alone in this seat for the upper chamber.
House 20A: 64-32 R
House 20B: 61-34 R
District 21 (~20A, 23A, part of 23B): This is the rural and suburban areas of Mankato, including Fairbault and Le Sueur. Reps Brian Pfarr and Jeremy Munson are double bunked in 21A, which will likely result in a freshman-vs-sophomore primary. Fellow freshman Rep Bjorn Olson is double bunked with fellow GOPer John Petersburg as well in 21B. Senators Julie Rosen and Rich Draheim are double bunked, as they are both residents of rural Blue Earth County. So expect a LOT of primaries if this seat is drawn.
House 21A: 54-41 R
House 21B: 59-36 R
District 22: (~old 19A and 19B): Mankato didn’t need to shed population or gain population, so the districts are nearly unchanged. GOP Rep Susan Akland, and DFL Rep Luke Fredrick keep their districts, as does DFL Senator Nick Frentz.
House 22A: 51-43 D
House 22B: 56-36 D
District 23: (~Old 20B, 24B, and part of 20A): Rice County and half of La Sueur Counties. Rice County has Northfield, which makes 23B quite blue. 23A has Fairbault and rurals, so it is quite red. Dem Todd Lippert has a comfy seat in 20B, and GOPer Brian Daniels has a comfy seat in 20A. The Senate seat would be HIGHLY contested, and Republican incumbent John Jasinski would be in for quite the fight.
House 23A: 58-36 R
House 23B: 57-37 D
District 24: (~Old 24A, 27A, part of 24B, and 25B). This is largely the medium size towns between Mankato, Rochester, and the Iowa boarder. 24A is Owatanna and the surrounding area, and while it is officially open, I’d bet John Petersburg runs here. Peggy Bennet and has 23B to herself, though Patricia Mueller lives within a golf shot of the border. Senator Gene Dornink lives right on the border of 24 and 28, but I think he’d run in 24 due to no other incumbents being there.
House 24A: 56-38 R
House 24B: 49-45 R
Districts 25 (~Old 58B, and parts of 21A, 21B, and 54B): 25A is essentially Hastings and Farmington, while 25B is the majority of Goodhue County. Pat Garafalo lives in 25A, but 25B is officially vacant, but either Barb Haley or Steve Drazkowski could easily run here by moving a couple miles away from their current homes (Drazkowski makes more sense, as Haley could take 29A) The Senate seat is also officially vacant but Mike Goggin could easily run here. So could Carla Bigham as she lives just over the border too, but Bigham is a Democrat so she would certainly run in the friendlier district she is drawn into (The line is the Dakota/Washington County border)
House 25A: 51-43 R
House 25B: 56-39 R
Districts 26 (~Old 25A, 25B): Northern Rochester / Olmsted County. This area grew rather quickly, with Rochester growing faster than the rest. Shrink 25 in towards Rochester and shed the outlying parts and you end up with this least-change seat Reps Duane Quam (R) and Liz Bolden (D) as well as Senator Dave Senjem (R) all live in the new versions of their districts. 26A gets bluer by needing to take population from Rochester proper, and Senjem sees his already competitive district move into Dem+10 territory overall.
House 26A: 48-47 D
House 26B: 56-38 D
Districts 27 (~Old 26A, 26B): Southern Rochester / Olmsted County. This area grew rather quickly, with Rochester growing faster than the rest. Shrink 26 in towards Rochester and shed the outlying parts and you end up with this least-change seat. Reps Tina Liebing (D) and Nels Pierson (R), as well as Senator Carla Nelson (R) all live in the new versions of their districts. Nelson sees her already competitive district move to Dem-7 territory overall.
House 27A: 58-38 D
House 25B: 51-45 R
District 28 (~Old 27B, 28B, part of 24B and 25A): Southeastern corner of the state. Patricia Mueller and Greg Davids have their own districts, largely unchanged from their current forms, while Senator Gene Dornink has the district to himself, if different looking than his current district.
House 28A: 51-43 R
House 28B: 53-42 R
District 29 (~Old 21B, 28A, and part of 21A): Redwing to Winona along the Mississippi River. Barb Haley and Steve Drazkowski both live near the northern border in 29A, but one of them would run in 25B instead. Gene Pelowski lives in 29B by himself in the Winona-based House seat. Senators Mike Goggin and Jeremy Miller both live here, but Goggin would almost certainly run in 25B instead. Miller is a serial overperformer in Winona, and would be the one Republican to be able to lock this 50/50 seat up for the Red Team.
House 29A: 52-43 R
House 29B: 52-42 D
District 30 (~Old 29B, 30B): Starting the metro counting here, as per traditional numbering convention. This is exurban northeastern Wright County. 30A is essentially Buffalo and Monticello, while 30B is essentially St. Michael and Albertville. Reps Marion O’Neill and Eric Lucero keep their districts more or less intact, if slightly shrunk due to population growth. Senator Bruce Anderson has the seat to himself in the upper chamber.
House 30A: 58-36 R
House 30B: 59-35 R
District 31 (~Old 31B, parts of 31A and 35A): This is the part of Anoka County that makes Anoka County Republican. GOP House leader Kurt Daudt’s home in Isanti County was moved into the Itasca County district, as this area has grown such that it doesn’t need to leave Anoka County. Daudt could run here, but it’s more likely 31A is open as Daudt claims the even more Republican district his home is in. Cal Bahr lives in 31B and has that seat to himself. Senator Michelle Benson also lives here, but she is running for governor, so this senate seat will likely have a new Republican incumbent soon.
House 31A: 60-35 R
House 31B: 62-33 R
District 32: (~Old 39A, 39B): Forest Lake to Stillwater, much like the existing SD39. Bob Dettmer, Shelly Christensen and Karin Housley all live in their successor districts without double bunking or major changes.
House 32A: 55-39 R
House 32B: 52-43 D
District 33 (~Old 29A, part of 47A): Southeastern Wright County and northern Carver County. This area saw significant growth over the last few years and the districts are now significantly geographically smaller than they were a decade ago. Reps Joe McDonald and Jim Nash still live in their shrunken seats. Julia Coleman does not live in the district, but she would be unlikely to win SD42, so I’d fully expect her to move a little further west to claim this comfy seat for herself.
House 33A: 61-33 R
House 33B: 55-40 R
District 34 (~Parts old 34A, 35A, 35B, 36A): This is kind of a new district, I guess? Traditionally one seat crosses the Anoka-Hennepin County line to account for population, this time the population worked out such that the border is between the A and B side districts. It looks a lot cleaner than the current mess, and is helped by population growth on the Hennepin County side. Essentially, it’s Rogers, Dayton and Champlin for 34A, while 34B is Anoka and Andover. The incumbent situation is a bit odd. No incumbents live in the Hennepin County side, while both John Heinrich and Peggy Scott live in the Anoka County side. One could move, of course, but that would be a bit odd given the difference between Chamlin and Andover culturally. The Senate seat double bunks a Dem and a Republican as Jim Abeler and John Hoffman both live here. Abeler would be a prohibitive favorite if they ran against each other in such a district, so I’d expect Hoffman to look for greener pastures elsewhere.
House 34A: 50-45 R
House 34B: 51-43 R
District 35 (~Old 33A, 33B): This is western Hennepin County and is nearly identical to the existing 33A and 33B. 33A includes the sparsely populated areas of western Hennepin County, while 33B is essentially Lake Minnetonka residents and is the singular most affluent district in the entire state. Republican Rep Jerry Hertaus, and DFL Rep Kelly Morrison both keep their districts as they exist today, and Senator David Osmek (R) is still the only Senator there.
House 35A: 55-41 R
House 35B: 51-44 D
District 36 (~Parts of 35B, 36A, 36B, and 37A): This is essentially Coon Rapids, plus small sections of Andover and Blaine to make up the difference in population. DFL Rep Zach Stephenson lives in the 36A side, and 36B does not have an incumbent. A few candidates live pretty close to the border, as this area’s population density is getting up there a big, so it’s likely to be a landing spot for some incumbent, likely a Democrat. On the Senate side geriatric Dem Jerry Newton lives here, but I can’t imagine he hangs on for the decade as he is in his mid-80s now.
House 36A: 48-46 D
House 36B: 50-42 D
District 37 (~Parts of old 37A, 37B, 38A): 37A is the northern half of Blaine, while 37B is Lino Lakes. Nolan West, a rather colorful 30-year-old character who has twice been thrown out of the Republican Party for overtly racist behavior still represents northern Blaine in the House. Far more banal Republican Donald Raleigh is alone in his Lino Lakes based seat. Republican Roger Chamberlain is the only senator to live in this seat.
House 37A: 49-46 R
House 37B: 49-46 R
District 38 (~Old 34B and parts of 34B and 36B): This is essentially Maple Grove, with a slice of western Brooklyn Park to make up the population. Maple Gove has undergone a huge growth and political change over the last decade. Due to this population growth, the Maple Grove district sheds all of it’s northern Republican-leaning turf to get down the population, which greatly changed the political makeup of 38A especially. Republican Kristen Robbins lives here, but would likely try to find another district to run in with the changes. Democrat Kristen Bahner’s district shrinks, but doesn’t change much politically. Long-time Republican Senator Warren Limmer lives here, but I doubt he would run for reelection in a D+10 seat after narrowly holding on the last 2 cycles in a far more favorable seat.
House 38A: 52-43 D
House 38B: 54-42 D
District 39 (~Old 40B, parts of 36B and 40A): 39A is eastern Brooklyn Park and 39B is Brooklyn Center. Speaker Melissa Hortman lives along the river in Brooklyn Park, and while Representative Mike Nelson also lives in 39A, he would yield to Hortman and move to the neighboring district instead of forcing a primary. Samantha Vang has 39B to herself. Senator Chris Eaton has this seat to himself, but it is conceivable Senator John Hoffman carpetbags here to primary him.
House 39A: 64-31 D
House 39B: 66-27 D
District 40 (~Old parts of 37A, 37B, 41A, and 41B): Southern Anoka County, including all of Columbia Heights, Fridley, Spring Lake Park and the southern edge of Blaine. This seat is now fully within Anoka County, but that leaves an odd situation where the people who represent the lion’s share of this district, don’t live here. The only member of the legislature who lives here is Erin Koegel in 40A. Could be a place for carpet bagging of otherwise displaced DFL members, as it’s all safely blue.
House 40A: 53-40 D
House 40B: 66-27 D
District 41 (~Old parts of 41A, 41B, and 42A): This is northeastern Ramsey County, including New Brighton, Shoreview, Adren Hills and the northern edge of Roseville. 41A has an overabundance of legislators with Representatives Connie Bernardy, Sandra Feist, and Jamie Becker-Finn living there. Kelly Moller is the only Rep in 41B, but it’s quite crowded there. The Senate side isn’t less crowded with Mary Kunesh-Podein, Jason Isaacson, and John Marty all living there. Marty would run in the St. Paul-based SD66, but that still leaves a LOT of people with few seats.
House 41A: 63-32 D
House 41B: 59-36 D
District 42 (~Old 47 B, parts of 48A and 48B): Chaska and Chanhassen in 42A, with the northern half of Eden Prairie making up 42B. Republican Greg Boe loses the more Republican parts of Carver County due to huge growth in the area, and ends up in an uncomfortable district. There is no incumbent in northern Eden Prairie, but Carlie Kotyza-Witthun could conceivably move to the other side of the suburb to take this otherwise vacant and now comfortably-blue seat. Republican Senator Julia Coleman lives here, but wouldn’t run in such a blue seat, which means Dem Senator Steve Cwodzinski will likely have the Senate seat to himself.
House 42A: 50-45 D
House 42B: 56-40 D
District 43 (~Old 44A, and parts of 44B, 46A): This district now contains all of Plymouth, with just a tiny bit of Minnetonka to make up the couple thousand residents Plymouth is short for a full self-contained Senate district. Representative Ginny Klevorn is the only lower chamber incumbent in Plymouth, but Patty Acomb would likely run in 43B, as she represents basically all of that turf now, even though her house is across the border in Minnetonka. Senator Ann Johnson Stewart has the district to herself.
House 43A: 57-39 D
House 43B: 58-37 D
District 44 (~Old 45A, parts of 40A and 45B): 44 is southwestern Brooklyn Park and Crystal, while 44B is New Hope, Robinsdale and northern Golden Valley. 40A has no incumbent, but would likely be taken by the Dem Rep who doesn’t take 39A between Hortman and Nelson. 44B has freshman incumbent Cedrick Frazier. Senator Ann Rest is the only Senator here.
House 44A: 64-30 D
House 44B: 67-27 D
District 45 (~Old 46A and parts of 48A and 46B): 45A is the bulk of Minnetonka, and 45B is the bulk of St. Louis Park and southern Golden Valley. This seat will also have a bit of a clown car. 45A has Laurie Pryor, but 45B has both Mike Freiberg and Ryan Winkler. Neither Freiberg nor Winkler would have a good landing spot when double bunked, so expect either a primary or a gentleman’s agreement with 1 taking another job somewhere. Senator Ron Latz gets a comfy Senate seat to himself provided the double bunked Reps don’t prefer a primary in that direction.
House 45A: 63-32 D
House 45B: 67-27 D
District 46 (~Old 46B and 49A): The northern half is Hopkins and the southern edge of St. Louis Park, while the southern edge is nearly coterminous with Edina. Cheryl Youakim and Heather Edelson have their own seats largely intact. Senator Melisa Franzen keeps a safe seat as she makes a play to be the next Senate Dem Leader.
House 46A: 71-24 D
House 46B: 63-34 D
District 47 (~Old 48B and 55A): 47A is southern Eden Prairie, and 47B is Shakopee and a corner of Pryor Lake in Scott County. Carlie Kotyza-Witthuhn is the only state Rep in 47A, but she couyld prefer to run in 42B depending on who else Eden Prairie Dems nominate. 47B has “The man without a party” Erik Mortensen lives in 47B. It is tough to see someone who was drummed out of the main MN GOP, then drummed out of the splinter more “ideologically pure” New House Republican Caucus winning again. He will either lose a primary (which he has done) or a general election (which he has also done) with Shakopee growing rapidly and as a result his district shedding basically all of its rural fringes. The Senate district is actually open, but could be taken by either Dem Steve Cwodzinski or Eric Pratt who both live just outside of the district’s boundaries. Both would likely prefer their respective comfy seats though.
House 47A: 55-40 D
House 47B: 48-46 D
District 48 (~Old 55B, 20A): 48A is mostly Prior Lake and a part of western Lakeville, with 48B being the rural parts of Scott County not in Savage, Shakopee or Prior Lake. Tony Albright is in 48A, while 48B is vacant. It would not surprise me to see the aforementioned Erik Mortensen move over to where his voters are and seek reelection there. Senator Eric Pratt lives here. Technically so does Senator Zach Duckworth, but Duckworth would be more likely to run next door in SD54.
House 48A: 55-40 R
House 48B: 59-36 R
District 49 (~Old 38B, parts of 42B, 43A): Northeastern Ramsey County. Ami Wazlawik and Peter Fischer have redrawn districts, but largely have the same feel of their predecessor seats. The Senate district is actually open, but Chuck Wiger lives close by should he prefer to run here than in SD 50. Or one of the pols left out of musical chair in SD41 could carpetbag over.
House 49A: 53-42 D
House 49B: 58-36 D
District 50 (~Old 43B, 53A, and part of 39B): Oddly shaped eastern metro cities mean an oddly shaped SD made up of North St. Paul, Maplewood and Oakdale. Leon Lillie is the only Rep in 50A, and Tou Xiong is the only one in 50 B. Senator Chuck Wiger lives here, and would be most likely to run in this district.
House 50A: 57-37 D
House 50B: 55-39 D
District 51 (~Old 53B, and parts of 53A and 39B): This is Woodbury and most of central Washington County. 51A is open with no incumbent really having a base there, and 51B is home to Steve Sandell. Senate Majority Leader Susan Kent lives here, but she already announced she isn’t running for reelection.
House 51A: 53-42 D
House 51B: 55-41 D
District 52 (~Old 50A and parts of 63B and 50B): This is Richfield and eastern Bloomington. Due to population growth in neighboring Minneapolis, the Richfield based 52A now takes in For Snelling, MSP Airport and a tiny sliver of south Minneapolis. 52B is the eastern side of Bloomington just south/southwest of the airport. Reps Michael Howard and Andrew Carlson keep similar enough districts to their current seats. Same for Senator Melissa Halvorson Wiklund.
House 52A: 69-25 D
House 52B: 61-33 D
District 53 (~Old 49B, 56A): This is the western Bloomington (53A), and Savage with a slice of western Burnsville (53B). Reps Steve Elin and Jessica Hanson keep similar districts to their own current seats. Freshman Senator Lindsey Port is the only Senator in the district, but will be 50% new to her.
House 53A: 60-35 D
House 53B: 51-43 D
District 54 (~Old 56B and 58A): Most of Burnsville (54A) and half of Lakeville (54B). Dem Kaela Berg and Republican Jon Koznick have their seats mostly resembling their existing seats. Senator Zach Duckworth may run here, though his house is in the adjacent district 48. If Duckworth doesn’t run here, the seat is open currently.
House 54A: 58-37 D
House 54B: 49-47 R
District 55 (~Old 57A part of 58A and 58B). Apple Valley makes up most of 55A, and eastern Lakeville makes up most of 55B. 55A is home to Rep Robert Bierman, while 55B would be open. SD55 has Senator Greg Clausen as an incumbent.
House 55A: 55-40 D
House 55B: 50-44 D
District 56 (~Old 51A, 51B): Eagan, and a little big of Rosemount for population. Reps Sandra Masin and Liz Reyer, as well as Senator Jim Carlson keep essentially their same seats, with only a slight size reduction due to population growth.
House 56A: 60-35 D
House 56B: 57-38 D
District 57 (~52A, 52B, part of 54A): Northern Dakota County, including West St. Paul, South St. Paul (57A), Mendota Heights and Inver Grove Heights (57B). Reps Rick Hansen and Ruth Richardson keep their existing seats for the most part, as does Senator Matt Klein
House 57A: 60-34 D
House 57B: 55-39 D
District 58 (~Old 54A, 54B, part of 57B. Cottage Grove and Rosemount plus some other small parts of northern Dakota and southern Washington counties. 58A sets up a member-on-member general election with John Huot (D) and Keith Frank (R) being double bunked. Republican Tony Jurgens represents the swingy 57B. The Senate seat is held by DFLer Karla Bigham.
House 58A: 50-44 D
House 58B: 51-43 D
Districts 59-63. These seats are all Minneapolis, and all are going to go 70-30 DFL+. I will keep the segments brief unless there is something important involving the DFL primary. The districts have been drawn, but sadly the precincts are not granular enough to get population exact from district to district. But the short story is that while Minneapolis does not gain any districts, SD63 pulls completely out of Richfield, and even the southeastern most corner of the city.
Districts 64-67: This is essentially St. Paul. Again, much like in Minneapolis, the DRA shapes aren’t granular enough to get exact populations. But the short story is St. Paul does not gain any districts, but does shed a little bit of Roseville due to population growth within the city of St. Paul itself.
Stats:
Minnesota House
76 seats are more Democratic than Republican
58 seats are more Republican than Democratic
62 seats are more Democratic than the state as a whole
72 seats are more Republican than the state as a whole
The median seat is between 3B (eastern Iron Range) and 4A (western Iron Range).
Minnesota Senate
39 seats are more Democratic than Republican
28 seats are more Republican than Democratic
32 seats are more Democratic than the state as a whole
35 seats are more Republican than the state as a whole
The median seat is 58 in the southeast St. Paul suburbs.