Just a quicky today to encourage you to take a look at Jonathan Tannen’s Philadelphia Election Tracker. He’s a data scientist who has written an app that allows Philadelphians to send in their voter #, ward, division (what normal cities call a precinct), and time, and from that and the covariances between divisions, estimates the total city vote to date.
As of 10:15, with 109k mail ballots, he estimates that there have been 131k in person votes as well. While we wouldn’t expect it to be a straight line all day, that would get us to 633k overall, smashing 2018. It’s fair to say that if there’s a huge turnout in Philadelphia (and Pittsburgh!) then Dems are going to have a very good night in PA.