A burning Russian Armored personnel carrier. And some of its former personnel.
The fighting in many parts of Ukraine has been tremendously hard. Ukrainian soldiers have proven themselves incredibly tough and fearless, as have Ukrainian civilians. By now, the videos of Ukrainians driving up to Russian tankers to chastise them for being in the wrong country, or of Ukrainian soldiers casually strolling through automatic weapon fire to level a anti-tank weapon at ranks of Russian vehicles have become so common that they’re like a meme which gets reinforced by the hour.
To put in terms that science fiction fans will understand, the Ukrainians are looking like the Sardaukar, Dorsai, and the Colonial Space Marines all rolled into one. They deserve every ounce of praise and admiration they’ve been getting. They don’t just have the swagger, they have the hard-won results to go with it. “Russian warship, go fuck yourself,” is going to be the “Nuts!” of the 21st century.
But still … Here’s an article from Popular Mechanics that happened to drop just hours before Russia launched its invasion. In it, the author describes how the upgraded and reorganized Russian war machine would roll through Ukraine using a modernized method of arranging its forces into “Battalion Tactical Groups.” These groups are designed to have flexibility. They’re designed to let every part of Russia’s expansive set of military hardware and hundreds of thousands of experienced troops work to their advantage. Check out this description of how a BTG would use a mixture of tools to take a bridge away from Ukraine.
“The BTG commander could first send reconnaissance patrols and his flying drones to probe enemy lines, then call up his self-propelled howitzers and mortars to pound their positions. Two motor rifle companies of 20 BMP vehicles, plus infantry, rumble toward the front line, protected by Pantsir-S1 air-defense vehicles watching the skies over them. Once the motor rifle troops penetrate enemy lines, the BTG commander calls up his ten T-80 tanks, ordering them to exploit the penetration and push on. The BTG’s air defense and anti-tank troops then defend the bridge against enemy counterattacks.”
Yeah, that sounds formidable. But it is nothing like what’s been happening at that bridge at Kherson. It’s nothing like what we’ve seen anywhere in Ukraine. Russia hasn’t been fighting with one hand behind its back—Putin has now deployed two-thirds of the forces arrayed around Ukraine at the onset of the conflict, and the troops and equipment busted up outside Kyiv on Sunday morning were among the best Russia has to field. But the organization, logistics, deployment … it’s all been awful.
Why its been awful will be interesting to learn. After Putin is gone.
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