Polling on fivethirtyeight.com shows Florida scientist and COVID-19 whistleblower Rebekah Jones leading Matt Gaetz by 6 points in the general election, with both candidates “certain” to win their respective primaries – Jones with 89% of Democratic party support and Gaetz with 69% of Republican party support.
An even worse sign for Gaetz: Only one-third of respondents who voted for Trump in 2020 disapprove of Rebekah Jones, according to the latest poll from Public Policy Polling, one of fivethirtyeight.com’s highest rated polling providers.
Below we breakdown the highlights from Public Policy Polling’s latest survey of likely voters in Florida’s 1st Congressional District:
Among all respondents who voted for Trump in 2020, more than one-third said they do not approve of or are unsure about Matt Gaetz.
Less than 1% of those who voted for Biden in 2020 approve of Matt Gaetz.
About 91% of those who voted for Biden in 2020 said they will be voting for Jones this November, with about 7% undecided. That’s on par with the 89% of Democrats who said they’ll be voting for Jones.
Only 35% of NPAs approve of Matt Gaetz — a stunning rebuke for a group voters Gaetz desparately needs to hold onto his current seat.
Gaetz’ numbers are especially low with women – Jones is beating Gaetz with NPA women by a 2:1 margin, and Gaetz’ support with Republican women is down to 64%.
For minority voters, Gaetz’ approval is an abysmal 2%, regardless of political party. Even among those who are not white and approve of Gaetz, none of them said they would vote for him this November.
This latest poll again shows the vulnerability of an incumbent whose approval rating is well below 50% and has been embroiled in scandal since his last re-election bid.
Across all parties, demographics, and voting history, 53% said they would vote for Gaetz if the election were held tomorrow. That’s raw, unadjusted data from 639 voters.
The group still most uncertain about who they will vote for this November?
White Republican women who voted for Trump in 2020.
The poll of 639 likely voters was conducted June 23-24, 2022. Public Policy Polling weighs voters heavily by education, Biden approval rating, and who respondents reported voting for in 2020. Voting history is not considered, though respondents are asked if they plan to vote in the November 2022 election.
Post by Rebekah Jones Campaign Media Coordinator W. Payne