Here's a look at which demographic groups have shifted most:
Biggest net-negative demographic shifts in Supreme court favorables
|
Net favorable (Feb.) |
Net favorable (July) |
Total net-Neg shift |
|
College-educated women
|
+32 |
-29 |
61 points |
| Suburbanites |
+28 |
-12 |
40 points |
| Women |
+22 |
-15 |
37 points |
|
Americans under 35
|
+9 |
-27 |
36 points |
Navigator also found significant movement among independents:
A majority of Independents view the Court unfavorably (55 percent), and nearly two in three say they do not trust the Court to make the right decisions in the future (net -28; 36 percent trust – 64 percent do not trust), a net 38-point shift since April (net +10; 55 percent trust – 45 percent do not trust).
It's worth noting here that the biggest movement toward Democrats in the generic ballot has come from independents, particularly independent women.
That generic-ballot movement toward Democrats is also part and parcel of another Navigator finding: a double-digit decline in favorables for the GOP.
Republican Party favorables have dropped from -7 in May to -17 now (39% favorable, 56% unfavorable) with a net negative shift among independents of 24 points (-19 in May to -43 now).
Net favorables for the Democratic Party, however, have remained more stable in Navigator’s polling, declining just 3 points from -5 points in May to -8 points now (44% favorable, 52% unfavorable).
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