Ken Buck’s surprise resignation puts the following political situations in play:
A) Yes, it reduces the already thinning Republican majority in the House to almost its breaking point, but that is not the half of it.
B) I force Lauren Boebert into a political suicide quandary. The Secretary of State said she qualified for the June 25th Republican Primary by submitting petition signatures yesterday. Here (Make no mistake, Buck’s resignation announcement was not coincidental or ironic after that qualification.)
C. Since Governor Polis announced holding within CO law that the election will coincide with the primary of June 25th, it places Boebert in a quandary:
A) Run in the primary against the other eight candidates for the November nomination and keep her seat in CD3
OR
B) Resign her seat in CD3 (thereby forcing another special election in CD3 where Democratic candidate Adam Frisch has a current advantage), which will also invoke the same Special Election date and run against other Republican opponents. This would be a big Hail Mary gamble as if she does not get the nomination and win CD4, she will be out of a job, and the Republicans could lose another seat.
The only way to the nomination for the Special Election is to seek it through the Republican Party’s CD3 Vacancy Committee ( a group of basically self-appointed party regulars within the party precinct organization), where one nomination is made for the Special Election. (A relic of the old caucus system.)
You can bet that Boebert has no real organization within CD4 to win the nomination through that process, especially since three established local politicians are seeking it.
The implication is that whoever succeeds in the June 25th Special Election in heavy Republican CD4 will also get the nomination for the November election and probably win as an incumbent.
I wonder what the Christian Nationalists are thinking about what side God might be on.