Someone 'splain this to me, because I must be dumb

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Wednesday November 07, 2018 · 5:06 AM PST

2018/11/07 · 05:06

Why isn’t this considered a “blue wave” again? Simply because the Dems didn’t win control of the Senate? Weird, because I’m looking at a party that (as of this writing):

Won 21 of 30 available Senate seats
Won 220 of 419 available House seats and gained control of that chamber
Made deep gains in many statehouses across the country, gaining full control in multiple states
Saw many progressive amendments/propositions pass
Won almost 57% of the vote in Senate races
Won over 51% of the vote in House races
Elected the most diverse set of candidates in the history of our country

The loss of Senate seats was strictly a fluky map issue. This was a blue wave by almost every criteria, and a clear rebuke to the President and his party.

New State Polls - Trump Circling the Drain

Otis29

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday August 12, 2016 · 8:34 AM PDT

2016/08/12 · 08:34

Some new state polls from NBC/Marist:

NBC/Marist polls (continued)

FL
Clinton 41%
Trump 36
Johnson 9
Stein 4

CO
Clinton 41
Trump 29
Johnson 15
Stein 6
Ã¢ÂÂ Steve Kornacki (@SteveKornacki) August 12, 2016

Keep working, people — good things are happening!

Nate Silver Tempers Some of the Handwringing

Otis29

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday October 08, 2012 · 5:00 PM PDT

2012/10/08 · 17:00

Tis not the end of the world quite yet, folks:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/...

At the same time, incumbent presidents just aren’t that easy to defeat. Mr. Obama’s approval ratings are now hovering around 50 percent and don’t seem to have been negatively affected by his performance in Denver. Although Mr. Obama’s approval ratings may be slightly lower among those most likely to vote — meaning that Mr. Romney could win with a strong turnout — historically that number has been just good enough to re-elect an incumbent. (Mr. Bush’s approval ratings were in the same range late in 2004.)
In some ways, then, the election might not be quite so unpredictable as it appears. There was reason to believe that Mr. Obama’s numbers would fade some after his convention — and the first debate has quite often been a time when the challenger drew the race closer.

I'll just say this - I get that the President's debate performance did him no favors. But this idea that we're suddenly in a sprint and not a marathon is overly panicky. Let's not underestimate the competitive fire of Barack Obama - and let's not ignore the huge advantage he has in the ground game.

Questions for Hillary

Otis29

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday March 18, 2008 · 11:57 AM PDT

2008/03/18 · 11:57

Oh, so much handwringing from the Clinton supporters about Michigan and Florida apparently deciding against additional primaries/caucuses. But let's be honest, the Clinton campaign is very pleased about this most recent turn of events.

A "revote" in either Florida or Michigan does not help the Clinton campaign in the one remaining metric they can hang their hat on - and that is this asinine (and somewhat mythical) "popular vote" count. They know that any contests in those states will result in a much closer outcome than the initial votes.

Otis29

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday February 19, 2008 · 12:37 PM PST

2008/02/19 · 12:37

My apologies for the short diary, and I know this is a big day here at DailyKos as we feverishly anticipate the results coming in from Wisconsin and Hawaii. And fairly so, but there is an additional issue that needs some attention.

Charlie Brown, the Democratic candidate running in CD-04 here in California, posted a very important diary that is threatening to disappear with very little attention received at our humble abode.

Please click this link to view Charlie's diary.

For those of you that aren't aware, CD-04 is a very Republican district that has lived (seemingly forever) with the extremely corrupt John Doolittle as its represenative. Doolittle has finally left the building, and Charlie is a respected military veteran who has a great chance to turn this seat into a Democratic pickup. And his constant struggle on behalf of our veteran soldiers and their families is a huge issue for our country, especially as we approach the five-year anniversary of our ill-fated excursion into Iraq.

Please, take a minute and look at Charlie's diary and the links to the charities he is promoting for our veterans.

Welcome to Fantasy Island

Otis29

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday February 11, 2008 · 5:03 PM PST

2008/02/11 · 17:03

I understand that "electibility" is an important factor for many voters, especially partisans around Daily Kos, but ultimately I remain unconvinced that the right-wing controlled portions of the media, and the Republican 527 groups are going to be any better or worse for Obama or Clinton. Here are a couple of points I'm pretty sure of, however:

Otis29

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Saturday February 09, 2008 · 6:35 AM PST

2008/02/09 · 06:35

I originally posted this yesterday afternoon, but with everything going on, it was shoved down the diary list very quickly. If it is a faux pas to repost, I will delete. Also, I apologize for the length in advance – there is some stream of consciousness here, but this whole nomination process has made me pretty reflective on my past, and where I’ve come from and what I believe in.

I’ve got to admit, I was a pretty lucky kid. My Mom and Dad started our family in the late 60’s in a crowded, dingy section of Norwalk, California. The five of us (my parents, me and my two sisters) were pretty poor – my pops was driving a truck and doing odd jobs where he could find them, Mom was doing some accounting work. When I was a few years old, they moved us into a decent part of Long Beach, not too far from Grandma’s house.

More after the jump...

Otis29

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday August 11, 2006 · 3:29 PM PDT

2006/08/11 · 15:29

From the very first comment in McJoan's front page diary:

orchulli would hurt lieberman, which may help lamont as lieberman wouldnt pull as many R votes. but could also hurt lamont that now that R is credible, he could be a threat to win with Lamont and Lieberman splitting a lot of dems. hard to tell.

Funny, I've been thinking about this a lot lately. Now that Lamont has won the primary, under which scenario can the Republicans claim anything more than a moral victory in the CT-Sen general? Let's look at the possible outcomes, shall we?
Read More

A good read

Otis29

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Sunday August 07, 2005 · 4:04 PM PDT

2005/08/07 · 16:04

Recently, I've been reading a very interesting book called "The People Themselves" by Larry Kramer.

What really hooked me on this book are the first three pages of the introduction. The author lists a few different scenarios from the late 1700's - court cases and congressional decisions that directly impacted the Constitutional rights of the citizens of the United States. The hook is in the reaction to those decisions by the citizenry and how closely they held the concepts and appreciated the frail nature of their independence.

One paragraph sums it up nicely:
Read More

RSS

Someone 'splain this to me, because I must be dumb

New State Polls - Trump Circling the Drain

Nate Silver Tempers Some of the Handwringing

Questions for Hillary

Multitasker Alert!!

Welcome to Fantasy Island

Underestimate HRC at Your Own Peril

Why I'm NOT Scared of a Replacement Republican in CT-Sen

A good read