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Sat Nov 15, 2014 at 03:37 AM PST

California - US House Targets 2016

by BENAWU

Wow wasn't 2014 a bruising midterm election? Except in California where (assuming Costa (CA-16) and Bera (CA-07) hang on) we have made a net gain of 1 (CA-31) to move up to holding 39/53 Congressional House Districts in California. Wow dizzying heights indeed.

So now onto 2016 where with presidential turnout we should be playing both defense AND offense.

Below the fold for details.....................(and a surprise prediction)

UPDATE Now includes Cook PVI's.

Poll

Will we win or lose House Districts in CA in 2016?

3%3 votes
1%1 votes
5%5 votes
61%52 votes
22%19 votes
4%4 votes

| 84 votes | Vote | Results

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Sat Dec 08, 2012 at 03:57 AM PST

California 2014 - US House targets?

by BENAWU

Now that the dust has settled on election 2012 it is time to look forward to 2014. Some would say that we are just about maxed out in the California delegation but that is not quite the case.

Below the fold for details.......

Poll

Which of the following is least likely to flip in 2014?

28%23 votes
28%23 votes
42%34 votes

| 80 votes | Vote | Results

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Sun Jan 15, 2012 at 01:55 PM PST

2012 House - GOP Candidate Filing

by BENAWU

Last week I posted a diary showing how many Districts have Democratic Party candidates.

So how travels the GOP?

Below the fold for details.

**Brought to you by one of the gang that brings you the 2012 Race Tracker Wiki.**

Poll

Who will contest more House Districts in 2012?

27%6 votes
63%14 votes
0%0 votes
9%2 votes

| 22 votes | Vote | Results

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With 2 Californian GOP House members already retiring in 2012 and more likely to follow it is timely to have a look at the lay of the land with the entire Californian GOP House delegation.

Below the fold for my rankings (and thoughts) of the most to least likely of the 19 Californian GOP House members to retire.

**Brought to you by the gang that brings you the 2012 Race Tracker Wiki.**

Poll

How many GOP retirements in California in 2012?

0%0 votes
3%1 votes
29%8 votes
18%5 votes
3%1 votes
44%12 votes

| 27 votes | Vote | Results

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Fri Jan 06, 2012 at 05:08 AM PST

2012 House - Dem Candidates piling in!

by BENAWU

With the 2012 election now a mere 10 months away the time has a come to cast a look at how the parties are going with candidate recruitment for the House (quantity not quality).

So how travels the good guys of Team Blue?

Below the fold for details.

**Brought to you by the gang that brings you the 2012 Race Tracker Wiki.**
 

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Well candidate filing has closed in both Illinois and Ohio, the first two states to do so for the 2012 election cycle.

How did both parties fare?

Below the fold for the state of play and please go and take a look at the 2012 Race Tracker Wiki.

Poll

Will the Illinois Dems nominate a candidate in IL-16?

32%11 votes
29%10 votes
8%3 votes
14%5 votes
14%5 votes

| 34 votes | Vote | Results

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Mon Dec 26, 2011 at 03:48 PM PST

Ohio House Candidate Filing rolls on

by BENAWU

Courtesy of a craven cave in from the Ohio Democratic Party the Buckeye State now has an astonishingly GOP Friendly House map. Dropping two districts, courtesy of redistricting, Ohio has 16 Districts on the ballot with the only competitive races next November likely to be in OH-06 and OH-16. After a 2010 election night that ended up 13R/5D (ugh) a 10R/6D, 11R/5D or 12R/4D split looks likely post 2012. Candidate Filing closes on 30th December.

Below the fold for the state of play with candidate filings and take a look at the 2012 Race Tracker Wiki.

 

Poll

What will be the Ohio House Delegation after 2012

23%4 votes
23%4 votes
52%9 votes

| 17 votes | Vote | Results

Continue Reading

Texas and Illinois were the first two states where candidate filing was due to close. Then the US Supreme Court gave Texas one extra day.

But nonetheless wander down below the fold to see how both parties are going at filling the slate in the first two cabs off the rank in the 2012 cycle.

Oh yeh and take a look at the 2012 Race Tracker Wiki just because you can.

Poll

How many House Districts will have Dems running in them?

27%5 votes
27%5 votes
44%8 votes

| 18 votes | Vote | Results

Continue Reading

Tue Nov 09, 2010 at 01:59 AM PST

What is going on in NY-25?

by BENAWU

Well what a topsy turvy race this has been. On election night we thought that Maffei had it in the bag, only to discover, when all 4 counties that make up NY-25 reported all precincts, that the Republican candidate was in fact in front by 684 votes!

Below the fold for more........

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Sat Nov 06, 2010 at 06:41 AM PDT

Jim Costa will probably win CA-20

by BENAWU

On Tuesday night we were all (including me) counting Jim Costa amongst the casualties of the 2010 GOP wave. After all he was trailing Republican challenger Andy Vidak by 1823 votes with 100% of precincts reporting.

Fortunately that judgement seems to have been  premature. :)

Below the fold for all the details.......

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Sat Apr 17, 2010 at 09:38 PM PDT

House candidate filing rolls on and on

by BENAWU

With candidate filing now closed in 28 states (as per the SSP election calender)it is time to pause, take a deep breath, and have a look at how both parties are traveling vis a vis candidate recruitment for the House of Representatives.

Below the fold for all the details and hey go check out the 2010 Race Tracker Wiki over at Open Congress for all your House, Senate and Gubernatorial needs.

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Whilst the Massachusetts Senate Special and a series of dodgy house polls have Democrats convinced that the November midterms will be apocalyptic; the fact is that a number of Republican held House districts are in fact vulnerable to a takeover from Democratic challengers.

How many?

Below the fold for all the details and hey go check out the 2010 Race Tracker Wiki over at Open Congress for all your House, Senate and Gubernatorial needs.

Poll

How many competitve races in GOP held districts?

35%6 votes
29%5 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
5%1 votes
29%5 votes

| 17 votes | Vote | Results

Continue Reading
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