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In 2008, progressives had the choice between a “moderately-progressive” Barack Obama and a moderately conservative Hillary Clinton.  Obviously, we made the right decision—but what about now?  I’m auguring that Hillary is our best and only chance to win in 2016. Here’s why:

1. O’malley doesn’t have enough “it-factor” to inspire our part-time voters to go to the polls.  However, I hope he’s selected for the V.P.

2. Elizabeth Warren would be a breath of fresh-air for progressives but her niche is too small for the general. She’s more wonkish than inspirational which plays well here, but her rhetoric is not strong enough win it all.

3. Hillary has Bill and Bill still has a 68% approval rating.  This is important for the white folks who love progressive policies but couldn’t stomach the black dude.

4. Warren doesn’t do enough to inspire minorities and is too easy to typecast. Ask me how I know. I was a major state-wide player for Souls-to-the-polls in 2008 and 2012 and the minority community is underwhelmed with her diversity record. She’s not tight with the minority caucuses and Wall-street Reform is like #26 on the list of national priorities. She’ll learn to broaden her platform and be more ready next time.

5. Hillary won’t destroy Obamacare; any con will.

6. Hillary won’t sign tax-breaks for the wealthy.

7. Hillary and yes, Bill will keep the economy moving in a progressive direction.

8. Hillary will deliver more for progressives now than ever because she tasted the wrath of an angry left last time. Warren is not as progressive as we think and Hillary is becoming more progressive by the nano-second.

Is it real?

Probably not.

Do I care?

Not as long as she does what she says.

9. Hillary already has the name recognition and just needs to run a smart campaign. For everyone else, that’s a tall order.

10. Hillary can raise enough money to buy a small country. As much as I can stand this, we need Hill's cash to insulate all democrats from the certain billions (with a “B”) that these Koch-heads will spend.  

Now, I know many others might prefer O’malley or Warren, but I’m about winning! They can’t win—plain and simple.  Hillary gets 48% of the vote—strictly on name ID.

These are my thoughts, I respectfully would like to hear yours.

Discuss

Wed Nov 05, 2014 at 01:54 PM PST

Democrats Needed to Lose This Election!!

by joelgp

Let me say at the outset that I’m deeply disappointed with the massive loss we suffered last night.  There is no way I can spin any aspect of the results.  However, I can say that we bought and paid for this butt wuppin’ and it’s exactly what we needed before 2016.

All of our candidates were cowards!!

1. Did they talk about this improving economy??  No!
2. Did they mention the great successes in Obamacare? No!
3. Did they talk about the banks being saved?? Not!!!
4. Did they talk about the improving job market?? No!!
5. Did they mention gas prices?? No!!
6. Did they discuss the lower deficits?? No!!
7. Did they mention how democrats have done a better job protecting the border? No!!
8. Did we mention how much more is in their 401K’s? No!!!
9. Did say one freakin’ word about the job market? No!!!
10. Did they speak positively about the man who did all of that?? Never!! Ever!!!

So they deserved to lose!! Grimes deserved to lose because she couldn’t even mention Obama’s name.  She cowardly ran from Obamacare when she clearly knew it is the heart and soul of their Kynect program.

They all ran from progressive polices even though 2/3rd of Americans agree with them.  Yes, I know most of these were confederate states and yes I know that our coalition stayed home.

Why?  

Could it be that young people are pissed with candidates who run from the man we just busted our butts for two years ago??  We forget that these elections are not about the sweaty butts warming the seats of Congress.  It’s about policy!!  That’s right, the policy that improves the lives of the average Americans.

So we needed to show America these crazy republican loons on full display while Obama can still buttress any real damage.  Then, we must remember that it’s our policies that will sustain this party over time!!!

Okay, breathe…breathe—I’m good now.

Discuss

Mon Nov 03, 2014 at 06:15 AM PST

Breaking Qunnipiac Poll: Iowa Tied

by joelgp

Keep hope alive...

U.S. Rep. Bruce Braley closes the gap with Republican State Sen. Joni Ernst, leaving the Iowa U.S. Senate race a 47 - 47 percent dead heat, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Four percent remain undecided.

This compares to results of an October 29 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN- uh-pe-ack) University, showing Sen. Ernst at 49 percent and Rep. Braley at 45 percent.

Today's results show independent voters divided 44 - 44 percent. Republicans back Ernst 95 - 2 percent. Democrats back Braley 94 - 5 percent.

Men and women still are locked in a reverse gender gap as women back the Democratic man 51 - 42 percent, while men back the Republican woman 52 - 44 percent.

Braley leads 56 - 36 percent among those who already have voted.
Discuss

Thu Oct 30, 2014 at 12:18 PM PDT

PPP: Colorado Tied!

by joelgp

Every other day, some pollster dashes my hopes against a stone.  But then, an accurate bean-counter brings much needed sunshine.

Today, PPP made my day:

Public Policy Polling’s newest Colorado survey finds that the races for both the Senate and Governor are deadlocked. Key findings from the survey include: -Mark Udall and Cory Gardner are both getting 48% of the vote, with just 4% of voters remaining
undecided. Gardner had led by small margins on each of PPP’s previous two polls of the race.

Udall has notably improved his standing with independents and now leads 59/38 with them. He is also tied based on his strength with the core Democratic constituencies that have helped the  party be so successful in Colorado in recent years-he’s up 53/42 with women, 63/27 with Hispanics, and 53/40 with voters under 45.

http://www.scribd.com/...

Let's rock this vote!!

Discuss

It's slim, but we'll take it.  None...I mean none of these senate races are over:

http://coralvillecourier.typepad.com/...

DUBUQUE, Iowa— The final Loras College Poll of the 2014 Election shows that Iowa’s intensely watched U.S. Senate race remains a toss-up. Congressman Bruce Braley, the Democratic candidate, has edged into a one-point lead with a week to go. Below is a comparison of today’s results with the previous poll conducted earlier in October: - See more at: http://coralvillecourier.typepad.com/...
I love the trend-lines:

                                               October 21-24            October 1-3

Bruce Braley                           45.3 percent                42.1 percent

Joni Ernst                               44.2 percent                42.4 percent

Other                                    2.3 percent                  3.7 percent

Undecided/Refused                   8.2 percent                11.8 percent

Discuss

Last week, I shared a poll that found Begich up 10 in Alaska and many of us were rightly skeptical that it was an outlier. Well, not so fast.  Check this out:

There’s new reason to believe that Begich’s impressive voter outreach efforts may help him hold on, after all. On Friday, a GOP firm released a poll showing Begich with a 10-point lead over Sullivan, a result that almost certainly overstated Begich’s advantage and appeared to be an outlier. But two other polls suggest that Begich is indeed very much still in the game. An Ivan Moore Research poll unveiled on Facebook last night gave Begich an eight-point lead among likely voters, while a Democratic poll released Friday shows the race between Begich and Sullivan deadlocked, with each candidate garnering 44 percent support.
This Ivan Monroe Poll found: Begich 48.3% Sullivan 41.6% Other 6.5% Undecided 3.6%

Keep hope alive!!!

Discuss

Sun Oct 26, 2014 at 06:19 AM PDT

Results: Six New Marist Polls

by joelgp

Good morning all.  While watching Up with the Steve Kornacki a few moments ago, NBC/Marist released 6 pols: AR, CO, IA, KS, NC, SD.

http://www.nbcnews.com/...

In Colorado’s Senate contest, Republican challenger Cory Gardner holds a one-point lead among likely voters over incumbent Sen. Mark Udall, D-Colo., 46 percent to 45 percent. Back in September’s NBC/Marist poll, Udall was ahead by six points, 48 percent to 42 percent.

In Iowa, Republican Joni Ernst edges Democrat Bruce Braley by three points, 49 percent to 46 percent. Earlier this month, Ernst’s lead was two points, 46 percent to 44 percent.

In Kansas,
independent Greg Orman has a one-point advantage over Republican Sen. Pat Roberts, 45 percent to 44 percent – down from Orman’s 10-point lead earlier this month in the NBC/Marist poll.

In Arkansas, Republican challenger Tom Cotton gets the support of 45 percent of likely voters, versus incumbent Sen. Mark Pryor, D-Ark., at 43 percent. In September, Cotton’s lead was five points.

And in North Carolina, incumbent Sen. Kay Hagan, D-N.C., and GOP opponent Thom Tillis are tied at 43 percent each. That’s down from Hagan’s four-point lead earlier this month. Libertarian Sean Haugh gets 7 percent of the vote.

...South Dakota, where Republican Mike Rounds enjoys a 14-point lead over Democrat Rick Weiland, 43 percent to 29 percent, while independent Larry Pressler, a former Republican senator, gets 16 percent.

I'm a little concerned about NC and Iowa but pleased that Pryor and Udall are still in the game.
Discuss

No joke people, GOP pollster finds Begich up 10 on Sullivan in Alaska!!

What the...wow??

https://www.scribd.com/...

If the November 4th 2014 General  election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates are.... For whom would you vote for U.S. Senate?

GENERAL

2014 U.S. SENATE GENERAL FREQUENCY PERCENT PERCENT
Mark Begich, Democrat, and.........196........48.6%.....51.5%
Dan Sullivan, Republican,..........158........39.2%.....41.6%
Mark Fish, Libertarian,.............11.........2.8%......3.0%
Ted Gianoutsos, Non-Affiliated,.....15.........3.7%......4.0%
Don't know..........................23.........5.7%....MISSING

Discuss

Check this out:

Independent Greg Orman still holds a five-point lead over incumbent Republican Pat Roberts in Kansas’ unexpectedly competitive U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Kansas Voters shows Orman with 49% support to Roberts’ 44%. Three percent (3%) like another candidate in the race, while five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/...
Discuss

You know, I'm getting to the point where I absolutely cannot stand the media because of their hatred of all-things-Obama.  This morning's vitriol is pointed squarely at Politico. So yes, I was doing my morning read and noticed three screaming headlines:

1. POLITICO poll: Alarm, anxiety as election looms

2. Poll: Dems in danger over Ebola

3. How the poll was conducted

Hmmm, okay-I said as I took the click-bait and proceeded.  The first thing I read was:

An overwhelming majority of voters in the most competitive 2014 elections say it feels as if events in the United States are “out of control” and expressed mounting alarm about terrorism, anxiety about Ebola and harsh skepticism of both political parties only three weeks before the Nov. 4 midterms.

In a POLITICO poll testing the hardest-fought states and congressional districts of the year, two-thirds of likely voters said they feel that the United States has lost control of its major challenges. Only 36 percent said the country is “in a good position to meet its economic and national security” hurdles.

Immediately, it became apparent that this was just another "Oh lawd...we'ze gone die" pieces. So, I pumped the brakes, went directly to poll and found that they tremendously buried a WHOLE BUNCH OF POTENTIAL LEADS.

Why?

Because THEIR POLL found doggone good news news for democrats!

Aside:  Don't you hate it when bloggers just randomly capitalize stuff?

Okay, so since Politico is hiding the good stuff, I'll report...you decide.

1. Obama Approval: 47%

2. Democrats Approval: 38%

3. Republican Approval: 30%

4. House Preference: Dems 41/36 (Say what)

5. Obamacare - Keep as is or with small modifications: 58%

6. Which party closer to big business and Wall Street? GOP 39-9%

7. How much confidence do you have in the government's handling of Ebola? 61%

http://images.politico.com/...

Can I throw in one more nugget in this rant?  Thanks.

ISIS has been basically stopped in Kobani and the Turks are allowing the Peshmerga to stage in their country:

Turkey has decided to allow Kurdish Peshmerga fighters from Iraq to use Turkish territory to cross into Syria to reinforce fighters defending Kobani, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu told reporters Monday.

The decision comes a day after the U.S. military airdropped weapons, ammunition and medical supplies to Kurdish fighters in Kobani to beef up the defense against ISIS forces, the Pentagon said.

So yes, Obama is rising in this poll, ISIS is being beaten back; Obamacare continues to be successful; we had the lowest level of unemployment applications in 14 years and the lead on Politico was what again?

Dems in Danger Over Ebola?

Child please...

Discuss

Wed Oct 15, 2014 at 05:26 AM PDT

Nunn Surges Ahead in Georgia: 48-45

by joelgp

Check this out:

For First Time, Democrat Nunn Now Narrowly In Front of Republican Perdue in US Senate Fight; GA Governor Contest Tied:

Michelle Nunn has not led in the contest for United States Senator from Georgia in 4 previous WXIA-TV tracking polls. But now she does. According to new 11Alive polling, conducted by SurveyUSA, it's Nunn 48%, Republican David Perdue 45%, with Libertarian Amanda Swafford grabbing just enough votes to possibly force a runoff, 3 weeks until votes in the general election are counted.

http://www.surveyusa.com/...
Discuss

My fellow Kossites, there is something rotten in Tennessee and his name is Scott DesJarlais. The voters in Tennessee's District 4 voted against Obama 2/1 in 2012. In the process, they elected one of the sleaziest Tea Party reps ever and this guy needs to be voted out!! Politico called him the “Biggest Hypocrite” and I call him the “Biggest Con.”

Lenda Sherell is a fantastic candidate, and is running against this guy who holds almost no respect for women. He is a true believer in the Tea Party movement and has had a very ugly divorce with charges of domestic violence, while urging both his ex-wife and mistresses to have abortions...as a pro-life candidate. Also, as a physician he was fined by a state board for carrying on affairs with multiple patients.

Politico described him this way:

NASHVILLE—Two abortions. Maybe three, if you count the one he pressured a girlfriend—who happened to be his patient—to get. Pulling out a gun during an argument with his first wife. Prescribing pills to another patient while they dated. Getting reprimanded by the Tennessee Board of Medical Examiners for dallying with patients, an ethics violation.
Gotta love those good old family values!!!

The sad thing is that Congressman Scott DesJarlais’ voting record is worse than his personal life.  Check this out:

He voted against:

1. Reauthorizing the Violence Against Women Act
2. Considering paycheck fairness
3. Increasing the minimum wage which would help families
4. Voted against allowing abortions to prevent death during emergency medical conditions
5. Creating a committee to reduce child abuse and neglect – a bill by Representative  Dave Camp (R-MI) that received bipartisan support.
Please take 30-seconds to meet Lenda in this video:

So, I’m asking us to support the candidacy of Lenda Sherrell. She has been endorsed by:

American Nurses Association
Emily's List
Off The Sidelines PAC
Tennessee Federation of Democratic Women
Tri-State Maxed-Out Women
Women's Campaign Fund
National Women’s Political Caucus
United Autoworkers
AFL-CIO
SEIU local 205
IBEW local 175
United Food and Commercial Workers International
United Steele Workers
Tennessee State Electrical Workers Association
Tennessee Professional Firefighters Association
Tennessee Democratic County Chairs Association

And even though she is running deep in the bowels of resistance to all things progressive, she is holding her own.  Please visit her website here:

http://www.lendasherrell.com/

Thanks for reading my thoughts, let's head to the polls.

joelgp

Discuss
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