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Fri Nov 21, 2014 at 07:00 AM PST

following up on Nicco Mele

by joseph

Here as half-promised are my follow-up thoughts on Deaniac turned McCain dabbler and ultimate Harvard tech prof Nicco Mele becoming deputy publisher of the Los Angeles Times.

I mainly talk about the political ramifications--which disappoint me--but the task now falls to Mele to figure out how to monetize the digital side of the newspaper.

An editor wrote me yesterday...

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That's pretty much all I have to say for now. But if the name doesn't register, I'd be honored if you made it to my backgrounder on publisher Austin Beutner's involvement with Melee when Mele was the programmer for Beutner's astonishingly unsuccessful Mayoral campaign. And I suppose I did call Mele "a de-certified lefty at Daily Kos" three years ago.


Thu Jul 10, 2014 at 01:09 PM PDT

Zephyr Teachout Goes Rogue

by joseph

This is not going to be much of a post, and I'm post-deadline a couple of ways anyway. Maybe I'll make a mistake or two. But there's a big deadline elsewhere to-day too, so I've got to make the time.

I have to admit that after some subconscious dormancy, the ramifications of the Zephyr Teachout for Governor of the State of New York campaign has registered on my radar at last. I'm intrigued by the prospects as well as the history as she files her petitions to put herself on the ballot--against fellow Democrat and Governor Andrew Cuomo--in the State's Democratic gubenatorial primary.

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Fri May 23, 2014 at 02:40 PM PDT

Replacing Waxman

by joseph

Yesterday I was asked by someone in City of LA government my thoughts on the Congressional race to fill Waxman's seat. The race has had some recent buzz on local radio as there's 11 days left and there are four people who are in the hunt for two chances at a runoff.

I put those thoughts here at my personal website, and they're a little gossipy and a little numbers-driven too and those thoughts involve talking to people involved with the race. But I'll say after the jump what I didn't say there that might be of interest to people far outside the District.

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Sun Apr 13, 2014 at 11:01 AM PDT

Rude Polls for California Dems

by joseph

It does indeed appear that the three (or, lets face it, with Kindee Durkee, four) Democratic scandals in recent California legislature memory are having a frosty effect on the State's status as a Democratic stronghold.

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Mon Apr 07, 2014 at 10:53 AM PDT

LA: A City Mingling Towards Identity

by joseph

So much of what we think of as great progressive thinking originates in Los Angeles. Indeed, if you were around about a decade ago, you were witnessing the birth of the progressive blogosphere right here in LA. And progressives have generally had the run of the town politically too.

And yet the pueblo does not reflect progressive "values" by any measure...

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As a vet of two presidential campaigns, one in each party, I've been watching for a week now, puzzling and looking at crosstabs, and at last I'm prepared to say why I think Obama took a sudden nose-dive in the polls. It wasn't because he "lost" the first debate.

After the first debate, the patronizing term "low information voter" suddenly appeared mostly on the left, in conjunction with who's actually making their minds up from the debates.

It's a stupid term, and worse, it's a vicious term. Do you know who is actually undecided at this point?  Just check the crosstabs of any poll.

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Mon Oct 08, 2012 at 09:45 PM PDT

5% Hispanic turnout?

by joseph

Well, that's what the Pew crosstabs said today in their little poll.

Oh, that and that there would be more far more people to vote who make $75K a year than who make between $30 and $75K.

And if you think that the likely voter breakdown November 6 will be around 36% Republican, 33% Democrat, and 31% other/Independent, then The Pew has your poll.

If you haven't seen Pew's crosstabs, I suggest you look at them.  This is the way their poll came out.

It's a poll where white women for Romney are leading white women for Obama by +19.

It's a poll where women overall are voting for Romney and Obama in equal numbers.

I can theorize why they were willing to run with a poll that is likely about +6 in Romney's direction, easily: in August, they went with a poll that was likely +6 in Obama's direction, and some on the right, notably Fox, complained.

Pew is a nonpartisan place, but that doesn't mean it's not looking out for itself.  This one came out like the bad call of an umpire who was trying to even up a previous bad call.  That's the way they're nonpartisan.  Not through their polling methods--which, in a word, suck, and certainly spin like a weathervane.

Of course, the later in the game, the more such calls matter.  Doesn't bother Pew.  But what was really depressing was to hear PBS run with a poll that should have been weighed in but also ignored as their lead story for six hours today.


One of the things I'm proudest of in my usually quietly trite liberal life is that I was at this community early enough to bag the screen-name "Joseph."

But another is that I wrote a novel about 9/11, as I think any writers who have a civic conscience would be obliged to do.

My novel didn't start out as a novel about 9/11.  It started out as a novel about reality television...

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Fri Dec 17, 2010 at 02:13 PM PST

What is a banker?

by joseph

I engage people of all stripes on Facebook, and I press them when they make political statements I don't like.  One source of sustained pressure for me of late has been Ron Paul's views on banking.  "Just read the website!" his faithful say, as though I don't know what Ron Paul might be saying.  I was a vice president at a commercial bank earlier in life, and I have been watching Ron Paul and people like him for years.  If you want to send America from slump to stone age, follow Ron Paul--that's my opinion.  But even before one gets to his or her own opinion on banking, they need to know what a banker exactly is.  People who think they have credible ideas on how banking should be nonetheless seem to fold when simply asked what a banker does.  How can this be? How can it be that people imagine they know that something is right for banking, when they don't even know what bankers do?

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It may be a random crime; if so, it is a highly unusual one, with no mention of robbery.

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Wed Nov 04, 2009 at 09:16 AM PST

the tea party putsch

by joseph

Like many here, I followed the last ten days of the NY-23 race with special interest.  I wondered what Sarah Palin really knew about Doug Hoffman that caused her to get involved in the first place.  I still don't know.

I do know that for ten days, because of the actions of a single unknown and untested millionaire, the Tea Party people became the voice of the Republican party and threatened to control it.  I do also know that Doug Hoffman took the "9/12 Principles" pledge of Glenn Beck.  Democratic Americans may not be aware of the 9/12 Principles, but I think that will change in upcoming weeks.  For instance, one 9/12 Principle is "My spouse and I are the ultimate authority, not the government"....

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