RIP, Peter Tork (1942-2019)

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Thursday February 21, 2019 · 4:22 PM PST

2019/02/21 · 16:22

Sorry for the short diary but as a pre-teen in 1966, I loved the Monkees and I have to admit I had a certain affection for Peter Tork. I am sorry to hear that he has passed. One of the few songs where he sang lead vocals was on Shades of Gray. Any other memories of Peter?

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Trump Collapsing on Prediction Markets

Charger72

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Saturday October 08, 2016 · 3:55 PM PDT

2016/10/08 · 15:55

I follow regularly three prediction markets: Election Betting Odds, Iowa Electronic Markets, and PredictWise. On Election Betting Odds, his probability has dropped 8.1 percentage points over the last day (to 17.7%). He is down to 13% on PredictWise (he was over 20% a couple of days ago). On the Iowa site, he is down to just above 20% from 25% yesterday.

Jim Cramer: Obama will win 440 EVs

Charger72

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Sunday November 04, 2012 · 4:00 AM PST

2012/11/04 · 04:00

In the Washington Post's Crystal Ball contest, Mad Money's Jim Cramer is predicting that Obama will win 440 EVs, win 55% of the popular vote, and the Democrats will keep the Senate and win back the House.

16th Crystal Ball Contest

I'm not exactly sure how he gets to 440 and I haven't taken the time to figure it out, but I thought it was an interesting prediction.

11 of the 13 contestants including a high-school government class are predicting an Obama victory.

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