The New Contract for Democracy

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Wednesday November 17, 2004 · 3:01 PM PST

2004/11/17 · 15:01

I'm interested in feedback on this. The idea is for a Democratic rallying cry based on the GOP's Contract with America in 1994 -- that exposes their 10 years in power as having broken the faith with that contract, and then presenting the Democratic alternative in value-laden language.

This has been cross posted on my blog: www.ilpundit.blogspot.com

The Contract with America - Breaking the Faith

10 years after the historic 1994 elections and after a decade of GOP rule in Washington, it has become clear that the proponents of the "Contract with America" have failed to uphold the values that they claimed in their sweep to power.

Consider:

Although the Contract with America called for a Balanced Budget Amendment, and "restor(ing) fiscal responsibility to an out of control Congress, requiring them to live under the same budget constraints as families and businesses..."

...total GOP control of the Federal Government has left us drowning in red-ink, with massive spending increases, massive tax cuts, and budget and trade deficits that threaten the economic security of the United States. Read More

Stealing the Faith Base

SpringfieldDem

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Monday November 08, 2004 · 7:48 AM PST

2004/11/08 · 07:48

The 2004 election was, in many ways, the election where the Democratic Party at long last joined the battle that the right wing declared on them decades ago.

Regardless of whether you beleive the post-election spin that is was values, or terrorism, or whatever, that won it for Bush, they key fact of the election is that rural areas are becoming redder, and urban areas are becoming bluer -- and it is the values component that emotionally spearates the two Americas. Read More

Catharsis

SpringfieldDem

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Monday November 01, 2004 · 4:55 PM PST

2004/11/01 · 16:55

I just posted this on my new blog -- about my passion for voting this year.

http://ilpundit.blogspot.com/

I just voted. I've been waiting four years for this moment.

My entire professional career has been in the political arena, and I've grown accustomed to winning some, and losing some. Going into election day, 2000; I was actively arguing with my other Democratic friends that a Bush win would be good for us Illinois Democrats, because that would make 2002 a GOP Presidential off-year -- giving us a better chance to pick up the Governor's office in Illinois (which, incidentally, we did).

I was supporting Gore, of course, but not with a lot of passion. I wasn't impressed by George W. Bush, but I wasn't threatened by him either. I had other races on the local level that interested me a lot more.
Read More

My EC Prediction: K: 316; B: 222

SpringfieldDem

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Thursday October 21, 2004 · 9:26 AM PDT

2004/10/21 · 09:26

Using the excellent http://2.004k.com site, I calculated the average of Bush's horserace performance in every single individual state poll taken so far in the month of October.

Given what we know about the incumbent rule, I predicted EC results based on Bush's average performance in the state polls. In the biggest states, there are as many as 8-10 polls built into the average, so I think this is a pretty accurate reflection of the state of affairs.

Here is Bush's average in the battleground states: Read More

Bush Surging in new Zogby Tracking Poll -- leads Kerry 48-44

SpringfieldDem

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Friday October 15, 2004 · 4:16 AM PDT

2004/10/15 · 04:16

This makes me very worried. First night of post debate calls and Bush widens lead by 3 points in one night, to open a 4 pt lead.

This means Bush had a monster night in last nights polling sample.

Bush: 48 (46)
Kerry: 44 (45) Link added: http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml?type=topNews&storyID=6512601

IL Sen- Hastert abandons Ryan

SpringfieldDem

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Wednesday June 23, 2004 · 11:24 AM PDT

2004/06/23 · 11:24

A special extra edition of Capitol Fax in Illinois reports:

"US House Speaker Denny Hastert has canceled a fundraiser for Jack Ryan, several sources confirmed today.

"The fundraiser was scheduled for later this week.

"This may not be the last extra of the day. Stuff is happening. Stay tuned."

Insiders on the ground here in Illinois say Ryan's departure from the ballot is looking more and more likely

The Democratic Spin:

SpringfieldDem

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Friday March 26, 2004 · 5:56 PM PST

2004/03/26 · 17:56

If this President had put the same effort into protecting America before 9/11, as he is putting into destroying Richard Clarke's good name, there might be 3,000 more Americans alive today.

Leiberman and Biden Defend Bush on Clarke Charges!!!

SpringfieldDem

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Sunday March 21, 2004 · 10:26 PM PST

2004/03/21 · 22:26

Color me flabbergasted. From a new AP story tonight:

Sen. Joe Lieberman, D-Conn., said Sunday he doesn't believe Clarke's charge that the Bush administration -- which defeated him and former Vice President Al Gore in the 2000 election -- was focused more on Iraq than al-Qaida during the days after the terror attacks.

"I see no basis for it," Lieberman said on Fox News Sunday. "I think we've got to be careful to speak facts and not rhetoric."

And Sen. Joe Biden, D-Del., said Sunday on ABC's "This Week" that while he has been critical of Bush policies on Iraq, "I think it's unfair to blame the president for the spread of terror and the diffuseness of it. Even if he had followed the advice of me and many other people, I still think the same thing would have happened."

Link: http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/ats-ap_top11mar21,1,7653929.story?coll=chi-news-hed

What is it with these A***oles?!?!?!?!?

Simplify, Senator Kerry !!!!!!!!

SpringfieldDem

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Sunday March 21, 2004 · 1:21 PM PST

2004/03/21 · 13:21

Republicans tend to beat us in the free media largely because we Democrats like to talk too much.

We're proud of the fact that we base our arguments on fact. We like to prove our point. We like to explain ourselves.

We need to get over it.
Read More

If I were Kerry or Edwards Speechwriter

SpringfieldDem

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Tuesday February 24, 2004 · 4:04 PM PST

2004/02/24 · 16:04

If I'm Kerry or Edwards, I say this on Bush's announcement on Gay marriage amendment:

"Today, George W. Bush dropped all pretenses and announced to the nation: "I am a divider"

"To the 2.2 million Americans who have lost their jobs,

"To the families of the thousands of American soldiers killed and wounded in Iraq,

"To the millions of Americans concerned about the fiscal health of our nation and the direction of the economy,

"Today, George W. Bush made it clear that your priorities are not his priorities. Read More

Nader Jumped the Shark

SpringfieldDem

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Monday February 23, 2004 · 12:04 PM PST

2004/02/23 · 12:04

Surely, we all admit that today, America is a very different place than is was in the year 2000.

We now live in the era of the Patriot Act.

Our former fiscal health as a nation teeters on the edge of disaster with every year producing a new, record breaking budget and trade deficit.

Our reputation as the world leader in foreign affairs is in tatters.

One of the big issues facing the nation this year: Should we amend the Constitution to disenfranchise and entire segment of our population - denying their equal rights under the law?

And even the very corporatism that Mr. Nader speaks of has entered its golden age, with energy lobbyists righting environmental legislation, pharmaceutical companies writing heath care bills, and big time Texas contractors getting rich off the blood and treasure of Americans in Iraq.

Gee, what changed in 2000 to bring about these changes?

Oh yeah! That's right, we used to have a Democrat as president!!! But wait, Ralph, I thought there wasn't a difference????? Wha??

All a person has to do is look at the difference between now and then to find the lie in Nader's public posturing. Not only are there differences in the parties, but they are immense. By claiming otherwise, Nader has Jumped the Shark.
Read More

The Law of Unintended Consequences

SpringfieldDem

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Sunday February 15, 2004 · 6:40 PM PST

2004/02/15 · 18:40

I've spent a lot of time puzzling over the Iowa results. The twin collapse of both Gephardt and Dean was really unprecedented. When was the last time in modern political history that the two front runners 8 days before an election -- in any race -- ended up finishing a distant 3rd and 4th behind two campaigns that had been left for dead?

On January 12, 8 days before the election, the Zogby tracking poll in Iowa showed the following:

Dean:     28
Gep:     23
Kerry: 17
Edw:    14

The final results, 5 days later:

Kerry:    37
Edw:    33
Dean:    18
Gep:    11

Taken collectively, the front runners bled an amazing 22 points in 8 days. That's just staggering. Read More

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