Gallup Daily Tracking: McCain +2

Twogoods

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Tuesday August 26, 2008 · 10:40 AM PDT

2008/08/26 · 10:40

I know, I know..it's a daily tracking poll. But I watch this poll every day and this is the first time since June that McCain has lead by any margin. What's troubling for me is that according to Gallup

An analysis of historical election poll trends by Gallup Poll Managing Editor Jeff Jones shows that recent presidential campaigns have enjoyed a small (though short-lived) bounce from the running mate announcement. This includes a four percentage point bounce for John Kerry in 2004 after selecting John Edwards, a 5-point bounce for Al Gore in 2000 with his announcement of Joe Lieberman, and a 3-point bounce for George W. Bush in 2000 upon choosing Dick Cheney. Bob Dole received an extraordinary 9-point bounce in 1996 after bringing Jack Kemp onto his ticket.

I'm left wondering why.

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