Quinnipiac Poll: Clinton stronger than Obama in key states

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Wednesday April 02, 2008 · 7:00 AM PDT

2008/04/02 · 07:00

* Florida: Clinton 44 percent - McCain 42 percent; McCain beats Obama 46 - 37 percent;
* Ohio: Clinton beats McCain 48 - 39 percent; Obama gets 43 percent to McCain's 42 percent;
* Pennsylvania: Clinton tops McCain 48 - 40 percent; Obama leads McCain 43 - 39 percent.

What's interesting here is that Clinton does better than Obama even though his favorability spread is more positive.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/...

Wufacta

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Wednesday February 13, 2008 · 7:54 PM PST

2008/02/13 · 19:54

Is Barack Obama the messiah? Or is he the Emperor with no clothes?

Last weekend, while Obama was sweeping political contests in three states, the top story at Fox News-- and in most of the media, was quite different. Apparently, Dutch teen Joran van der Sloot had been caught on hidden cameras apparently confessing to being involved in the disappearance of US teenager Natalee Holloway, an attractive young woman whose tragic disappearance caused quite a stir a couple of years ago.

Meanhile, Britney Spears's problems continued unabated. She was released from the hospital on February 6, but the drone continues unabated. Apparently, her father tried to fire her business manager. Did she get married in Mexico? Did she break a court plea? The dim has gotten so loud that Broadway play Monty Python's Spamalot, directed by Mike Nichols, even had a Spears joke removed from it.

These stories, to me, are profound. Far more profound than Obama's "wins" in Washington, Louisiana, and Nebraska.

Wufacta

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Tuesday February 05, 2008 · 11:24 PM PST

2008/02/05 · 23:24

This is going to be a short diary, but it's a little too much for a comment.

I have a question for Obama supporters, especially those who point to Obama's wins in caucus states in deep Red areas as signs of his electability. The general election is not a caucus. It is a regular election. If Obama cannot outperform and often underperforms in regular elections (e.g., primaries), how does it speak to his electability? If he cannot outperform after the past week with him getting the most positive establishment support and the most positive media coverage of any candidate that I've ever seen, how does that speak to his electability?

Wufacta

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Monday February 04, 2008 · 11:28 PM PST

2008/02/04 · 23:28

Although I'm a Hillary supporter, I'm a Democrat before that, and another commenter recently suggested a diary on which candidate would be more electable. I think that's a good idea.

It is hard to gauge at this stage in the game how a General Election will play out but some things are coming into shape. It seems like John McCain will likely be the Republican nominee. McCain brings with him a long tenure of experience, a history as a maverick / moderate, a history of military service, and his advocacy of the Iraq war. He has a stronger appeal to Hispanics because of his stand on immigration, but it may also hurt him in other parts of the country. On the other hand he is over 70 years old, has admitted to lack of knowledge on economic issues, and has a mostly conservative voting record (the ACU ranks him more moderately, but another measure ranks him as the 8th most conservative Senator). Recent polls show a competitive race, and it will likely remain one through November. So which of our candidates is more electable?

Wufacta

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Sunday February 03, 2008 · 8:48 PM PST

2008/02/03 · 20:48

Her passion. I think it's important to have a President who is passionate about the direction of our country. The more passionate they are the harder they will work and the more carefully they will think about every decision and action they take. There is a big difference between Presidents on the passion meter. Hillary has been working and fighting to be involved in public issues and causes for all her life, and she is clearly a fighter who is very passionate about her principles.

Wufacta

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Saturday February 02, 2008 · 7:03 AM PST

2008/02/02 · 07:03

I'm sick of all these arguments that 'oh my spouse is an astrophysicist does that mean I'm an astrophysicist now'? No it does not. That's because his work does not involve you in the least. He leaves home, goes to a place of work, and engages in that work without communicating to you about it, while you go and do something entirely different.

Wufacta

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Saturday January 26, 2008 · 10:00 PM PST

2008/01/26 · 22:00

All campaigns urged supporters in MI

Wufacta

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Friday January 25, 2008 · 7:57 PM PST

2008/01/25 · 19:57

that Michigan and Florida delegates might be seated at the national convention by urging their supporters to vote uncommitted. Before the Michigan primary,

The campaigns of Sen. Barack Obama and former senator John Edwards are urging their supporters to cast ballots for "uncommitted," according to state Democratic party chairman Mark Brewer. The Obama campaign says there may be "grass-roots efforts," but that the Chicago-based campaign is not involved.

...Michigan Rep. John Conyers and his wife, Detroit city council member Monica Conyers, taped a radio advertisement Wednesday afternoon. In it, they called on Obama backers not to surrender their vote.

They say on the radio spot that they intend to vote "uncommitted" and give Obama a chance to compete for those delegates in Denver.

Now the Obama camp is airing ads in Florida

Let's face it,

political elites blundered in Michigan and Florida and the DNC, which failed to fully anticipate in turn the harsh penalties and the rush to be early, but the voters in those states didn't have a say.

Wufacta

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Friday January 18, 2008 · 11:06 PM PST

2008/01/18 · 23:06

Recently I've been arguing here that Hillary's core strength is her reputation as a strong Democrat, that she's been a consistent fighter for progressive economic causes, and that she balances out Edwards's righteousness with Obama's conciliation.

Recently the Obama people have been hitting hard on the idea that he is the only one who can reach across the aisle and build a coalition of Americans of different party identifications. Obama even said in the LV debate that that was the only thing he thought he offered that the other candidates did not, and that is why he was running for President.

Well, that reason is flawed, because Hillary's record belies his claim that he is the only one who can work with Republicans or defuse polarization. The record is not just talk, or hope, or in the future, it is real and proven, it has already happened:

Only eight years have passed since Lindsey Graham, then an ambitious Republican member of the House, paraded over to the Senate each day to argue the impeachment case against President Bill Clinton.

How things have changed....

Wufacta

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Thursday January 17, 2008 · 9:50 PM PST

2008/01/17 · 21:50

Since all three of the top Democratic candidates have very similar policies (just look at the Republican race..), what separates them? Why do people have such strong feelings- and it is clear they do- for one or another candidate?

What distinguishes these candidates is that they all run on very different themes. The difficulty comes in how you define a 'theme'. Arguably, all of the candidates have multiple themes, and different themes appeal to different people. How do these themes relate to one another, and which should we single out?

The real themes that each candidate is defined by are those which they have distinguished themselves on, and those that underpin, on the broadest level, the core of their appeal to the most people.

Wufacta

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Sunday January 13, 2008 · 9:03 PM PST

2008/01/13 · 21:03

This is too long to be a comment, apologies.

With that speech, Senator Clinton signals the central themes of her campaign. Clinton's campaign is personal. Clinton's campaign is about her relationship with the voters. Clinton's campaign is about unfinished business and unfinished battles with powerful interests. Clinton's campaign is, as Frank Rich notes, about "a long itemized shopping list of government programs...that are nakedly targeted to appeal to every Election Day constituency." And, finally, the Clinton campaign is, above all else, about returning Hillary Clinton to the White House to serve this nation:

"We are in it for the American people."

That is Hillary Clinton's core message. That was the heart of her speech in New Hampshire. With that speech Clinton revealed the core rationale for her campaign: that the arc of her career in public service should return her to the White House.

Wufacta

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Monday January 07, 2008 · 9:09 PM PST

2008/01/07 · 21:09

I see a lot of people excorciating Hillary for taking money from 'lobbyists.' The argument seems to be that even though Obama and Edwards also take money from lobbyists, Hillary is somehow uniquely bad because she has taken the most. This is a bankrupt argument, in my view. Hillary is OBVIOUSLY going to get the most money from lobbyists as (1) the frontrunner LAST year, and (2) the candidate with the most inside connections in the Democratic party.

The other candidates have an interest in drawing a contrast with that, and it's hard to tell then how committed they are to remaining pure from lobbies. Evidence on a smaller scale suggests they aren't really all that committed. Both Obama and Edwards have taken money from lobbyists.

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