SadRepublicans is my little corner of Schadenfreude

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Thursday November 15, 2012 · 2:10 PM PST

2012/11/15 · 14:10

I just had to do it.

When it hit me that we won, we reallyreally won, my obsessive poll hunting had transformed into a new hobby.

GOP Sad.

To those who don't like gloating, I'm sorry, but after years of listening to these people talk about our president like he was an impostor it made ME feel like an impostor. It made me feel defenseless, sad for my country. Every unfair, racist, ignorant blow against President Obama felt like a blow to my gut.

Now they can eat it.

benjaz

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Thursday November 08, 2012 · 7:57 AM PST

2012/11/08 · 07:57

Okay, so the GOP is clearly running scared after being rejected handily by Latino voters. The only CORRECT lesson the righties have learned is that they need to understand this segment of our population better.

So with the all-important tax discussion coming up, my one question is, how do our Hispanic citizens view tax fairness? If they are clearly in favor, then Obama has more leverage with Boehner and his flailing creed.

I'm waiting to see post-election polls on this issue, and will update here if I find anything. Would also love to see if anyone here has pertinent data.

Is our early vote advantage enough? Messina & Axelrod talk NV, IA, NC

benjaz

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Wednesday October 31, 2012 · 6:46 PM PDT

2012/10/31 · 18:46

An interesting point was made by Obama campaign guru, Messina, in a conference call to reporters today. It addresses a concern I've had about EXACTLY HOW our stellar early voting numbers make it tough for the Lords of Rancid Snot to overcome our nascent advantage.

Yes, I understand that we're kicking ass on the GOTV front, but I've been wondering, is it enough? Is it enough to beat back the (assumed) higher turnout of Knuckle Draggers With Soulless Eyes on Election Day?

benjaz

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Sunday October 28, 2012 · 5:45 AM PDT

2012/10/28 · 05:45

If you don't like the new OH poll from Cincinnati.com you can help spin it our way. They have an online poll accompanying their front page story on the "tied" race. Currently, the bad guys are winning by a mile. Fight back! (in a virtual kind of way)

http://vovici.com/...

National Journal: NV is loving Obama

benjaz

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Monday October 22, 2012 · 7:28 AM PDT

2012/10/22 · 07:28

The National Journal released an article this morning that has some nice tidbits re: Nevada. This is the nugget I like:

Republicans consistently run behind Democrats among early voters in Nevada. But the GOP has two firewalls: absentee voters, who tend to hail from rural, Republican-leaning counties in the state, and voters who turn up at the polls on Election Day. But in what could be a troubling sign for the GOP, early reports over the weekend suggest Democrats are even outperforming Republicans among voters casting an absentee ballot. Jon Ralston, the Nevada politics guru, reported that Democratic voters have turned in 52 percent of absentee ballots returned to Clark County, five points higher than their registration edge over Republicans.

That's not to say that the GOP won't catch up. They probably will. But this is starting to feel like Reid's 2010 election. Go Nevada!

Weekend voting in NV rocks! Keep it up NV!

Looks good to me! Charlie Cook's poll updates (with private pollsters' input)

benjaz

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Monday October 22, 2012 · 5:45 AM PDT

2012/10/22 · 05:45

I didn't see this diaried yet. Charlie Cook updated his rundown of where the race stands, and it looks like O improved a little. I don't have the previous rundown to compare it to, but it seems like the private pollsters are whispering more about O than R. Pay attention to the table at the bottom of the page, where Cook lists the states in order of strength. While Ohio is rated a toss-up it also shows up as one of Obama's strongest (a little odd).

http://cookpolitical.com/...

Poll

223 votes Show Results

This Cook update is:

223 votes Vote Now!

This Cook update is:

Good news

124 votes

Bad news

4 votes

GOTV!

95 votes

Will Romney reveal details on day of debate?

benjaz

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Monday October 01, 2012 · 6:29 AM PDT

2012/10/01 · 06:29

There's been a lot of talk about "zingers" and hail marys and gaffes these days. It's what fans of politics like to watch with their popcorn. But what if Romney's hail mary/zinger comes to us in the form of details about his plan?

More after orange Rorschach test...

benjaz

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Saturday September 15, 2012 · 10:24 AM PDT

2012/09/15 · 10:24

NOTE: Please use the following post as the default post on this topic. The writer has found other mainstream sources picking the video up. Whether we like it or not, this story may have an impact on a news cycle or two. Stay vigilant!

Focus on this post

Taegan Goddard just posted a link to the "leaked" video of Mitt Romney at a fundraiser. I know there were questions as to the legitimacy of the videos a few days ago, but I don't recall seeing the image of Romney speaking, which is clear in this round of vids. You can be cautious about their authenticity, but they do appear real. Goddard's coverage of them implies he believes at least the story about Chinese labor conditions is genuine.

Political Wire

Here's a link to the YouTube account that's been spreading the videos. It has a number of videos of which a few appear pretty damaging:
List of videos

Among the eye-openers (imo) are:

1) Romney passionately and disdainfully articulates that Americans feel entitled to health care.
2) Romney passionately and disdainfully calls 47% of the country "victims"
3) Romney sees nothing wrong with cramped Chinese labor conditions and believes management's spin that barb wire fences are to keep people OUT.
4) Only "girls" work in the factories. Not "women".
5) He doesn't want to give anything to his grandchildren. Huh?
6) He admits to having a silver spoon in his mouth.

Not all clips have video, so some will complain that all or part could be a hoax. Listen to all the clips for yourself before you judge, please.

GOP boos Puerto Rico at convention! Chants "USA! USA!" UPDATED W/PARTIAL RETRACTION

benjaz

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Tuesday August 28, 2012 · 7:24 PM PDT

2012/08/28 · 19:24

Short post, but it doesn't take much to uncover racism.

What the hell is going on down there? First there's word of food being thrown at a member of the media, then there's this piece in Harpers. Apparently the delegates booed the Puerto Rican speaker. Why? Because she has an accent I guess.

None of us could quite believe what we were seeing: A sea of twentysomething bowties and cowboy hats morphing into frat bros apparently shrieking over (or at) a Latina.

http://www.harpers.org/...

UPDATE: Hey all. Wow I missed a lot! Sorry for the silence but I had family over last night. It looks like the context of the video makes it tough to call the moment racist. Now I can watch this video and not be AS angry. However, I do get the sense (even from this video) that the anger went unchecked and was as intense because the audience was not respectful of the speaker. If the speaker had been from Texas, my opinion is that he/she would have had a chance to get a word out. That is only my opinion and there's no way to back it up except to point out the GOPs well-deserved reputation. The reporter on the scene seemed to think that there was vitriol toward the speaker as well as the party shenanigans. Priebus also looked very nervous especially after he points out that she's the lady from Puerto Rico and that seems to get a rise out of the crowd. However, after reading your thoughts I'm definitley convinced the angry faces in the hall were not all racist rage.

I will also say that the optics for the GOP are horrible and they'd better hope a Dem PAC doesn't get their hands on this thing.

Thanks for responses! Please let me know how partial retractions are handled so I can do the right thing here. I don't post often and don't understand the intricacies of HRing, Tip Jarring, proper updating, so any help would be appreciated. Thanks.

benjaz

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Saturday February 11, 2012 · 9:48 AM PST

2012/02/11 · 09:48

I'm sure many of you have received the Obama mailing which includes the campaign's electoral map options. For those who haven't I figured it would be a good idea to share.

The mailing includes a fold-out map with different paths to victory drawn out clearly. Some of the paths to victory seem reasonable and some seem likely only if Gingrouch is the Gippie nominee.

Here's a quick breakdown: (all assume O wins Kerry states, a reasonable assumption)

West Path. Win CO, NM NV for 272 EVs
Midwest Path. Win OH and IA for 270 EVs
South Path. Win NC and VA for 274 EVs

Then there's the expansion path, which assumes PA goes Gippie.
Expansion Path. Win AZ for 272 EVs

The mailer I got asks for money so they can be prepared to go whatever route is wisest later in the year. My personal take is that the West Path is most likely, with wins in CO, NM and NV. Though the Kerry map plus OH is ripe too.

The big challenges are laid out clearly too.

Super-PACS
New, restrictive election laws in 14 states
A more challenging electorate
Persuading Indy voters

O definitely knows we're in for a fight. We may be swimming in confidence now, but it's safe to say things will tighten and seemingly solid states will sometimes appear to slip away in the heat of a campaign.

In the final analysis, it's too early to worry about EVs. We don't even know which nut we're going to have to crack. But it's comforting to know that the good guys are aware of the challenges ahead and aren't going to assume anything. Whether we need to fight Mitt Monocles or wipe Santorum off the map we should be ready to fight hard.

Good mailing by the team. I'm writing a check today.

Biggest Gaffe of All: Mccain "regrets" abandoning Afghanistan in the 90s! He's 0-2!

benjaz

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Friday September 26, 2008 · 9:32 PM PDT

2008/09/26 · 21:32

Did anyone notice that McCain admitted he regretted leaving the fight unfinished in Afghanistan in the 90s?

That's a big deal.

Remember, there was a CIA-funded front in Afghanistan during the Cold War. We threw weapons and cold hard cash at Afghan fighters in their struggle against Russian forces. American funding abruptly halted in 1992 just before the pro-Russian government fell in Kabul. The Taliban quickly blossomed.

So what can we deduct from McCain's admission of regret? If I were a reactionary idealogue I'd say that he feels a sense of responsibility for 9/11. It being a debate night, I'm a temporary reactionary idealogue.

But for those who think that goes too far, then doesn't it at least destroy his argument that he has better judgment? Yup!

benjaz

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Sunday November 07, 2004 · 10:15 AM PST

2004/11/07 · 10:15

The Republican Contract With America was the primary tool that Republicans used to emerge from the wilderness. In the early 90s, Congress was controlled by Dems. Clinton swept into office. Conservatives felt isolated and feared for their country. In response to this they offered the Contract With America.

It was a cynical, yet sometimes inspirational, series of steps that Americans understood. It took our distrust of government and turned it into a bullet-pointed roadmap to streamlined, "moral" government.

Below the fold is a summary of what the Contract offered. Be ready for simplification, racism, stupid ideas -- and one of the clearest, most concise framing of the issues of the time.

It's been said here before, and it bears repeating. Democrats need their own contract. It's risky, sure, but it would give us the chance we desperately need to outline our ideas, vision, and, yes, values. Read More

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SadRepublicans is my little corner of Schadenfreude

GOP fears the Latino vote. Do Latinos believe in tax fairness?

Is our early vote advantage enough? Messina & Axelrod talk NV, IA, NC

OH tied? BULL! Help spin the Cincinnati.com poll! FREEP!

National Journal: NV is loving Obama

Looks good to me! Charlie Cook's poll updates (with private pollsters' input)

Will Romney reveal details on day of debate?

EDITED: LEAKED VIDEO of Mitt Romney fundraiser covered by Political Wire

GOP boos Puerto Rico at convention! Chants "USA! USA!" UPDATED W/PARTIAL RETRACTION

Obama's electoral map revealed by Obama campaign

Biggest Gaffe of All: Mccain "regrets" abandoning Afghanistan in the 90s! He's 0-2!

Contract With America - read it and learn