Thoughts on Exit Polls
My sense is that Obama and Romney broke even in a lot of the major demographics, but the smaller demographic groups really broke for Obama a lot, handing him his slim margin of victory. Young, poor or middle class, females, minorities, those interested in health care and Obamacare, those interested in abortion, those who want to raise taxes, those who thinks Obama cares more about people - all were smaller shares of the electorate but all were incredibly enthusiastic for Obama and against Romney.
Romney's 5% edge in independents was not enough to make up for the 6% edge in Democrats vs. Republicans. The born again and tea party folks only 20% or so came out. Not sure if this is a change from last time.
Are we left of center or right of center?
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