What’s so disturbing about the deficit reduction fiasco is that it fails to address the problem that’s in front of our face. Yes, of course, the deficit is a problem and has been since President Bush’s two tax cuts were enacted, but it’s a long term problem that can’t be fixed until the economy is on better ground. The current problem is aggregate demand, which clearly won’t improve with austerity programs.
While I’m no economist – my degree is in Finance - I’ve read quite a bit of about the subject - Smith, Hayek, Fischer, Keynes, Freidman, Minsky, etc. – and feel comfortable enough to conclude that the theory that best explains the current situation is that of Richard Koo, Chief Economist for Nomura Securities in Japan. I’ve read his book The Holy Grail of Macro Economics: Lesson’s From Japan’s Greatest Crisis and have seen a couple of talks he has given that are available on ITunes. (There is a podcast of a talk he gave at the Lowy Institute in February 2011 entitled The Long Haul Towards Economic Recovery and an ITunesU talk he gave at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in 2009.) I can’t recommend the book or the talks enough.
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