CT-Sen: Joe's camp "Worried" "Near Margin of Error" "Iraq big"

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Friday November 03, 2006 · 12:13 AM PST

2006/11/03 · 00:13

While I am a devoted Lamont-supporter, I maintain friendships within the Lieberman camp... Some of whom are deep within his strategy team. In recent weeks they have been relaxed and confident with the double digit polls but always on guard for a November Lamont surge. They will remind you (with great paranoia) of Lieberman's surge against Weicker 18 years ago.

Well tonight I received an e-mail from one of my more deeply connected resourses that was shocking to me, as I considered any real hope for Lamont overly optimistic. But here it is in black and white...

>Joe is now well under double digits in our internal polling - it is only a bit more than the margin of error.
>We will still win but we are worried. Iraq is a bigger factor than we thought, including with the Independents >and modreates in central and western CT.

So there it is... Anyone have anything else on Lieberman's internals?

Of Nutroots, MSOC and Impropriety

courtjester

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Saturday July 08, 2006 · 6:24 PM PDT

2006/07/08 · 18:24

I post at Daily Kos because I am pissed about Bush, Drudge, Fox News etc. and dKos helps me feel like I have a voice. But if MSOC is going to bitch about Kos and Jerome and "an appearance of impropriety" in what they do to make a living in an America that makes it harder and harder to get a break, then I want to take the opportunity to bitch about the "appearance of insanity, irrationality and paranoia" in the posts and actions by dKos particiants like MSOC and Cindy Sheehan.
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[UPDATED w/Rove link] It's about GAY hookers, STUPID!

courtjester

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Friday May 05, 2006 · 4:45 PM PDT

2006/05/05 · 16:45

Update [2006-5-6 1:19:31 by courtjester]:In the comments, kant usefully points to this post which has this choice graph...

In a secretive culture, like the gay underworld - that I wish could finally disappear altogether - blackmail isn't as crass as open exhortion, the threats are often unspoken. In fact, pressure can be applied in even apparently friendly ways as lovers, ex-lovers, or friends yield simply to accommodate and protect everyone.
Three days ago I spoke with a contemporary of mine, who'd been a regular at CBGB's and places like the 9th Circle who had become a staunch Republican. Although he lives in DC we met in one of the old 70s landmarks we'd each known 30 years ago as he was visiting New York for a few days. (He was keen to tell me about the Constitution Ball he attended this year.) When I asked him just what all this was about, all these secret gays - the whole pack of them - he gave me one of those looks that says "Girl, this says it all" and said, in a whispered tone, "Karl Rove."

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[FINAL UPDATE] Judy Miller and the Espionage Act

courtjester

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Thursday July 07, 2005 · 12:21 AM PDT

2005/07/07 · 00:21

Update [2005-7-8 1:52:39 by courtjester]:At the end of the post below the fold, I post a couple of theories about how The Espionage Act might apply to this case... fascinating stuff..

I haven't seen this yet, but Josh Marshall has the goods on the backstory on Miller and Fitzgerald. Seems Fitzgerald aggressively investigated another Bush White House leak in late 2001 and early 2002.

Fitzgerald had been investigating three Islamic charities accused of supporting terrorism -- the Holy Land Foundation, the Global Relief Foundation, and the Benevolence International Foundation. But just before his investigators could swoop in with warrants, two of the charities in question got wind of what was coming and, apparently, were able to destroy a good deal of evidence.

What tipped them off were calls from two reporters at the New York Times who'd been leaked information about the investigation by folks at the White House.

One of those two reporters was Judy Miller.

more below...
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Looking for New Hampshire recount update?

courtjester

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Thursday November 18, 2004 · 1:38 PM PST

2004/11/18 · 13:38

When can we expect word on this?

How many votes are there in the 5 precincts that are being counted today?

Who will announce the results?

Who is monitoring this?

Which internet sites have the most accurate and up to date information?

Is it generally agreed that this will either put air into or take air out of the sails of the recount effort targeting optical scanning machines?

Please advise!

Panic! Need info on poll closing rules...

courtjester

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Saturday October 30, 2004 · 7:26 AM PDT

2004/10/30 · 07:26

My biggest concern for Tuesday is how decisions are made about closing the polls...

Here is my concern: Everyone is expecting huge lines, particularly in heavily populated (read Democrat-dominated) areas. Some are predicting lines up to 4-5 hours or longer if challengers impede the voting process.

OK, so forget about the people who get discoraged and walk away. (Which sucks, but what can you do?) But what if, say, the polls close at 8pm and you got in line at 3pm, and you don't make it to the ballot booth before 8pm? Will the election officials extend the closing time?

My fear is that they are going to try to run out the clock on us.

Can folks take me through this on a state by state basis? Thanks.

Expectations setting... Domestic Policy favors Bush w/poll

courtjester

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Sunday October 10, 2004 · 1:26 AM PDT

2004/10/10 · 01:26

By many accounts, President Bsuh was more effective on Friday night when the questions turned to domestic affairs. Similarly, during Kerry's senate career, he has demonstrated more passion for foreign affairs issues than for domestic affairs. Finally, any opportunity for Bush NOT to talk about Iraq, is a boost for him.

Given the CW, that his adjustment in Debate 2 seemed to solve his problem with Kerry, I would expect expectations to be that this will favor Bush's bullet point approach. By contrast, the danger for Kerry is that he gets bogged down in wonkish talk, long-windedness and name dropping. Finally, Bush is still ahead by a point or two in the poll averages. So all in all, I'd say Bush has the edge going into debate 3.

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