Seen outside a Tucson-area polling station

kaczmar2

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Tuesday November 06, 2012 · 8:38 AM PST

2012/11/06 · 08:38

My wife snapped this picture outside the community center where we drop our daughter off for daycare.

We both had a good laugh...

Dick Morris walks back his Rommey landslide prediction

kaczmar2

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Saturday November 03, 2012 · 7:49 AM PDT

2012/11/03 · 07:49

Pure comedy.

Dick - Can I call you Dick? No Romney landslide?

As Election Day approaches, we must be very sensitive to last minute changes in the polls. Remember that President George W. Bush fell from a 4 point lead into a tie over the last weekend in 2000 and Clinton rose from a tie to a 5 point win in the last weekend of 1992.
With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a two point gain for Obama. Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney two ahead, he now has the race tied at 48-48.

That is troublesome.

But don't worry, there is a reason:

All of these changes are, no doubt, related to hurricane Sandy.

He ends with this:

This race is not over yet! And with a media determined to re-elect Obama, we may see the president’s recovery continue unless we step up our own efforts to thwart it.
We are still likely to win. The undecided vote always goes against the incumbent and all the polling suggests we will be more successful than they will be at turning out our vote. But, early warning signs must be headed.

Full article:
Sudden danger signs in polling as Election Day nears

Ohio - Turnout, Turnout, Turnout

kaczmar2

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Thursday November 01, 2012 · 1:12 PM PDT

2012/11/01 · 13:12

Concern about turnout in these battleground states does still keep me up at night, although the polls still look good.

Case in point - critical counties like Cuyahoga in Ohio. Consider the source when reading this (ugh, Washington Examiner) but nonetheless, turnout in these democratic strongholds is key.

Crucial early votes for Obama lagging in Ohio stronghold

Anyone have numbers to push back on the meme that early voting numbers are down in counties like this from 2008?

GOTV!

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