(Not really a diary, but of enough interest to post anyhow)
At Nate Silver's great site http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ there was a dramatic change in the last few hours.
Earlier today, his projection had Obama with a 45% chance of winning. His latest update has Obama with a better than 61% chance of winning.
We have to wait for Nate's update to fully understand the drivers, but key were new polls in the Midwest and Colorado, together with steady progress in the national polls.
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