Latest good news from NV and CO

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Sunday November 04, 2012 · 11:14 AM PST

2012/11/04 · 11:14

It's probably no surprise if you've been following Jon Ralston's prognostications on Nevada, but he just posted his final prediction for Nevada which is Obama 50/Romney 46. Here's the analysis:

PRESIDENT: I know the Romney folks and some RNC operatives believe they can still win, despite trailing by nearly 50,000 votes in early voting. But they need everything to break right – President Obama hemorrhages Democrats and independents vote in huge numbers for Romney, two things I do not see happening. It would be very difficult for Obama to lose Nevada, especially because I think more than two-thirds of the vote is in, so whatever turnout advantage the GOP has on Tuesday won’t be enough. Obama, 50 percent; Romney, 46 percent; others and “none of the above,” 4 percent.

As for Colorado, don't think I've seen anyone posting the final Denver Post/Survey USA poll, with Obama up 2, 47-45.

Ralston: Obama looks strong in NV early vote

sportpan

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Saturday November 03, 2012 · 11:19 AM PDT

2012/11/03 · 11:19

A real short diary, but just wanted to spread the good news about how Obama has banked a strong early vote lead, based on Nevada's go-to political source, Jon Ralston. His Tweets seem to tell the whole story:

Jon Ralston ‏@RalstonReports
I'll have a post up in a bit on early voting. Bottom line: If GOP doesn't have miracle 11/6 turnout or win indies huge, game over for Mitt.

And here's another way he put it:

Jon Ralston ‏@RalstonReports
Early voting wrap in Nevada has ominous numbers for Romney.

If you want more, go to his Twitter feed as he puts GOP deniers in their place.

Call Loretta Sanchez: Still undecided on health care reform

sportpan

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Friday March 19, 2010 · 12:09 PM PDT

2010/03/19 · 12:09

I just called Loretta Sanchez's Orange County district office, because I heard she is still undecided about the health care reform bill. Her staffer confirmed this to me, the argument being that she is concerned that the bill is "not progressive enough" and she wants a public option. I told her that my family and I agree with her in principle, but the bill right now is too important to not vote for at this time. What I should've said is that, if it's progressive enough for Kucinich, it's progressive enough for Sanchez.

sportpan

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Friday October 31, 2008 · 11:00 AM PDT

2008/10/31 · 11:00

This election has gone on so long that it's easy to forget how we got to this weekend in the good position we're in. Just to alleviate some of the handwringing, I wanted to revisit some of my favorite and most reassuring moments from the primaries.

And, as a California voter, I want to send out a big, big shout out to those of you in the battlegrounds waiting hours and hours and hours to vote for Barack early! We're thinking of and admiring those of you in that 6-8 hour line in Atlanta that they're showing on MSNBC!

sportpan

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Saturday October 18, 2008 · 11:27 PM PDT

2008/10/18 · 23:27

I'm anything but a stat-cruncher, but don't the Democratic Primary results make the best common-sense, real-life refutation of the so-called "Bradley effect?" I'm sure there are some logical holes in my argument--I never took a stats class in college--but here goes...

sportpan

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Friday October 17, 2008 · 1:09 PM PDT

2008/10/17 · 13:09

Is this all the McCain campaign has left, to attack Michelle? Cindy, stumping for her old man in Miami (from Jill Zuckman, Chicago Tribune):

MIAMI - At a packed rally at Florida International University in Miami, Cindy McCain repeated one of her most controversial lines this afternoon. "And yes," she told the screaming, pom-pom waving crowd. "I have always been proud of my country."

The line is a reference to something Michelle Obama said during the primaries. "For the first time in my adult life I am proud of my country because it feels like hope is finally making a comeback," said Obama, taking heat for the remark.

http://www.swamppolitics.com/...

And I thought family members were off-limits? This is a real sign of the McCains' desperation and low-class.

sportpan

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Sunday September 28, 2008 · 4:50 PM PDT

2008/09/28 · 16:50

After all of McCain's dramatics about (not really) "suspending" his campaign, he might not even show up for the bailout vote. Check out this little nugget:

Asked if McCain would return to Washington for the vote, "It’s impossible to know until the vote has been announced," Tucker Bounds, a McCain spokesman, told Politico.

http://www.politico.com/...

Poll

228 votes Show Results

What's McCain doing when bailout vote is called?

228 votes Vote Now!

What's McCain doing when bailout vote is called?

Voting

20 votes

Campaigning

72 votes

Deciding whether to jettison Palin before VP debate

136 votes

How many ways to say "McCain blinks"

sportpan

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Friday September 26, 2008 · 10:15 AM PDT

2008/09/26 · 10:15

Looks like Kos put up "McCain blinks" while I was composing this diary, so maybe we can change it up and see how many different ways we can get the same point across: Obama gets a big WIN for McCain even showing up to the debate.

Can't we make the MSM keep it simple and call it like it is?

sportpan

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Wednesday September 24, 2008 · 1:38 PM PDT

2008/09/24 · 13:38

It might be a bit risky, but switching debate topics to economics puts McCain even more on the defensive...

sportpan

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Friday September 12, 2008 · 1:25 PM PDT

2008/09/12 · 13:25

Not only was McCain's performance on The View bad because he lied and was evasive, it really sets up Palin to get caught in their own campaign spin with Charlie Gibson later when he asks about earmarks.

sportpan

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Sunday September 07, 2008 · 3:25 PM PDT

2008/09/07 · 15:25

Just when I was starting to feel sick about the daily tracking polls and the McCain offensive (in all senses of the word), I thought about this: If someone told me last year that Barack Obama would be ahead in electoral vote projections, slightly ahead (or at the worst tied) in national polls after the conventions, I think I'd be happy to take those odds. Even an iffy, more measured electoral vote projection like CNN's has 243 already in the Obama column to McCain's 189, in addition to more analytical sites like fivethirtyeight.com predicting Obama around or over 300 EVs. Whose position would you rather be in?

sportpan

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Friday August 29, 2008 · 11:44 AM PDT

2008/08/29 · 11:44

Clinton, and you're no Hillary Clinton!" I haven't read all the diaries and comments, so maybe this isn't a very novel idea...

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Latest good news from NV and CO

Ralston: Obama looks strong in NV early vote

Call Loretta Sanchez: Still undecided on health care reform

Remember the primaries! History is on Barack's side!

Common sense vs. "Bradley Effect": The Primaries

I'm proud of our Michelle!

McCain might not show up to bailout vote (w/timeline and poll)

How many ways to say "McCain blinks"

Call McCain's bluff: economic debate

Another View: Palin in lose-lose situation

We'll take these odds, thank you!

The line we need: "Sarah, I'm Hillary...