Republicans are taking a hit among a demographic they have long relied on as a key part of their narrowing coalition: married women. Multiple polls are showing that as married women sour on Donald Trump, they are also adopting a more favorable view of Democrats.
Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg has found that married women's view of Trump has worsened by fully 17 points since March of last year, up from 40 percent who disapproved of him then to 57 percent who do now.
Greenberg called it a "significant change" and told NPR, "I think there's some real partisan realignment here."
Meanwhile, a poll released last week by the LA Times/USC Dornsife found a corresponding trend showing that Democratic favorability is increasing among two demographics that typically favor Republicans: white married women and suburban women. Democrats even made gains with a demographic that favored Trump in 2016—white non-college educated women. The Atlantic writes:
Democrats, since midsummer, have gained eight points among white married women (a typically reliable GOP constituency), nine points among suburban women, and 10 points among white noncollege women (a strong 2016 Trump constituency).
The trend among married women mirrors the trend among women overall, who are also simultaneously rejecting Trump in higher numbers as they embrace the Democratic Party. It’s been a significant shift, particularly among independent women. But if Republicans were even a lick worried about the future of their party, they would be sounding the alarm bells over Trump’s polling drop-off and the Democratic gains among married women. Instead, they are more concerned with further stoking the resentments of their angry white male base.
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