(December 18th numbers in parenthesis)
Dean: 100.0 (100.0)
Clark: 46.5 (45.6)
Lieberman: 35.0 (35.9)
Kerry: 33.9 (33.8)
Gephardt: 32.4 (34.2)
Edwards: 21.8 (21.7)
Sharpton: 10.2 (10.1)
Kucinich: 5.1 (7.0)
Moseley-Braun: 4.6 (5.2)
New info: Newsweek national, new GA poll, new NH poll, media results 12/18-12/21
Old info: Old Newsweek national poll, two old GA polls, medua results 12/11-12/14
With only four weeks left, the invisible primary has become fairly well frozen. Meida coverage is drying up as the holidays approach, and new polls seem simply to reinforce old results rather than produce new ones.
It has always been my contention that this primary season is too frontloaded for a candidate to overcome a significant invisible primary defeat. Clark will almost certainly finish over 50.0 in the ECC, which has attempted to be a broad combination of several leading invisible primary indicators.
Personally, I do not believe 50.0 will be close enough. If Clark is going to win, he needs to climb significantly by January 19th.