According to the NYT, Dr. Dean remained the favorite to be the eventual nominee on another exchange, the Iowa Electronic Markets. Traders yesterday gave him a 51 percent chance to win, putting him well ahead of Gen. Wesley K. Clark (21 percent) and Mr. Kerry (13 percent). This exchange has been run since 1988 by the University of Iowa's business school, which says its futures market has usually been more accurate than public opinion polls at predicting election results.
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/01/18/politics/campaigns/18POIN.html
The online futures Market at Intrade.com has picked a winner and his name is Dean. As of 9AM ET Today, Dean is at 44, Kerry jumping dramatically from 1.2 to 27 is next, Gephardt is at 19.2, John Edwards is at 10.
http://www.intrade.com