This is why I cannot understand why people get so upset or excited about all of these new polls when 75-90% will be wrong. In 2000 two pollsters(Zogby-CBS) had Gore winning. Two had it tied(Fox-Harris). 14 had Bush winning by 2-9 points. With all of the new registrations there is no reason to believe that the polling will be any better this year.
http://www.aapor.org/default.asp?ID=39&page=news_and_issues/aapor_newsletter_detail#table1