I'm sick of the fake confidence from the wing-nuts. And those meaningless national polls (many of which Kerry has tied up). We need to start making it part of our mindset AND our discussions with everyone (including fellow Dems) that our boy is winning. We need to BELIEVE! And we need America to BELIEVE! And, of course, the numbers back it up.
We have the momentum right now in the state polls, so lets use it! In fact, we have emerging evidence that we may have a Kerry landslide on our hands.
Let's breed the momentum! Make people start expecting a Kerry landslide! Let the Dems know they need to get out and vote for the winner! Let the undecideds know that if they back Kerry, they back a winner!
Kerry is winning Ohio
Kerry is tied up and surging in Florida
Kerry is building on his lead in Pennsylvania
Kerry is CRUISING in New Hampshire
Kerry is up with momentum in Iowa
Kerry is up with the big mo in Wisconsin
Kerry is CRUSHING Bush in Minnesota
Kerry is CRUSHING Bush in Michigan
Kerry is CRUSHING Bush in Oregon
Kerry is CRUSHING Bush in Washington
And this is just with the states where Kerry is up. I'm setting aside the RED states where he's in striking distance in latest polling (like AR, VA, NC, CO, NV, WV - all of which have one or more polls showing Kerry w/in 5 points)
Thread in the emerging stories that major newspapers (including many that backed Bush in 2000) and prominent Republicans are backing Kerry (or snubbing Bush) ! It's part of the tidal wave!
If you provide more positives, I'll update. Numbers below the fold...
The latest polls (excluding Strategic Vision polls - a GOP outfit - and Fox's sketchy OH poll that still polls for Nader):
Ohio (Nader off the ballot):
ABC News: Bush 47% Kerry 50% - Kerry +3
SurveyUSA: Bush 47% Kerry 49% - Kerry +2
Rasmussen: Bush 47% Kerry 47% - TIED
U. Cinn. Ohio Poll: Bush 46% Kerry 48% - Kerry +3
Florida:
SurveyUSA: Bush 49% Kerry 50% - Kerry +1
Mason-Dixon: Bush 48% Kerry 45% - Bush +3
Univ of North Fl: Bush 44% Kerry 45% - Kerry +1
Rasmussen: Bush 49% Kerry 46% - Bush +3
Penn. (Nader off the ballot):
SurveyUSA: Bush 45% Kerry 51% - Kerry +6
Rasmussen: Bush 46% Kerry 47% - Kerry +1
Quinnipiac: Bush 47% Kerry 49% - Kerry +2
ARG: Bush 46% Kerry 48% - Kerry +2
New Hampshire:
Suffolk Univ: Bush 41% Kerry 46% - Kerry +5
Research 2000: Bush 45% Kerry 49% - Kerry +4
ARG: Bush 47% Kery 47% - TIE
Franklin-Pierce: Bush 42% Kerry 49% - Kerry +7
Iowa:
ARG: Bush 47% Kerry 47% - TIE
Chicago Trib: Bush 47% Kerry 45% - Bush +2
Rasmussen: Bush 46% Kerry 50% - Kerry +4
SUSA: Bush 47% Kerry 48% - Kerry +1
Wisconsin:
Rasmussen: Bush 47% Kerry 48% - Kerry +1
Chicago Tribune: Bush 43% Kerry 47% - Kerry +4
Gallup/CNN/USAT: Bush 49% Kerry 46% - Bush +3
Minnesota - including partisan GOP polls to underscore the point:
Rasmussen: Bush 47% Kerry 47% - TIE
Strategic Vision (GOP): Bush 45% Kerry 47% - Kerry +2
Star-Tribune: Bush 43% Kerry 48% - Kerry +5
Chicago Tribune: Bush 43% Kerry 45% - Kerry +2
Strategic Vision: Bush 46% Kerry 47% - Kerry +1
Michigan - including partisan GOP polls to underscore the point:
Strategic Vision (GOP): Bush 40% Kerry 48% - Kerry +8
Research 2000: Bush 43% Kerry 48% - Kerry +5
Rasmussen: Bush 46% Kerry 49% - Kerry +3
SUSA: Bush 42% Kerry 52% - Kerry +10
Oregon:
CNN/USAT/Gallup: Bush 45% Kerry 53% - Kerry +8
Research 2000: Bush 44% 50% - Kerry +6
Riley Research: 48% 43% - Bush +5
ARG: Bush 44% Kerry 49% - Kerry +5
SurveyUSA: Bush 44% Kerry 53% - Kerry +9
Washington - including partisan GOP polls to underscore the point:
SurveyUSA: Bush 45% Kerry 52% - Kerry +7
Strategic Vision (GOP): Bush 44% Kerry 49% - Kerry +5
SurveyUSA: Bush 43% Kerry 54% - Kerry +11
Rasmussen: Bush 43% Kerry 50% - Kerry +7
Update [2004-10-20 15:47:38 by VirginiaDem]: Note that Bush is not over 50% IN ANY OF THESE POLL NUMBERS. Heck, he's not over 48% in almost all of them (save Florida). Not good for an incumbent President two weeks before election day.
Update [2004-10-20 15:47:38 by VirginiaDem]: Title changed per suggestion in comments. OpMo is joined - move out!
Update [2004-10-20 15:47:38 by VirginiaDem]: The movement needs battle plans:
1. Blast the media (as usual)
2. Blog about the Kerry landslide - use the polling numbers, GOPers supporting Kerry as proof. This will effect the media too.
3. Email everyone about Kerry's mo - heck just cut & paste my numbers into an email.
4. Word of mouth is huge! (Example: Everytime I hear a Dem say "Ugh" about a national poll, I say "that's just because of Texas and the praire states, Kerry is winning in Ohio and Florida.")
5. Of course, most important is keeping up all other efforts (like GOTV).
If you have other suggested battleplans, post it and I'll add it.