This week Kerry leads Bush by 3% and leads the electoral vote 291-247 (Kerry leads in CA, CT, DC, DE, FL, HA, IA, IL, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, NH, NJ, NY, NM, OR, PA, RI, VT, WA, WI)
Last week Kerry lead Bush by 2% and lead the electoral vote 284-254
I have only done Kerry this week because 3 of the last 4 polls have only included Kerry vs. Bush so it is hard to get a recent comparison to Edwards and Dean.
Method for calculating electoral vote listed in my post below.