Looking ahead to Feb 3 and beyond.
AZ Dem primary, AZ Republic, January 21-22 (12/26-29), 528 likely, +/- 4.3
Kerry: 19 (3!)
Clark: 17 (19)
Dean: 14 (22)
Edwards: 9 (4)
Lieberman: 6 (7)
CA Dem primary, SUSA, January 20-22, 582 certain, +/- 4.1
Kerry 31%
Dean 26%
Clark 14%
Edwards 12%
What do these tell us? They may not be very predictive of AZ and CA, but they do tell us that momentum may trump money and organization. Dean has been the leader in AZ for months -- but now, Kerry has jumped from nowhere into the lead. Why? Iowa. And should he win NH as well, his momentum is going to help him even more.
UPDATE: There is supposedly an ARG SC poll coming out later today that will show Edwards with a narrow lead over Kerry, followed some ways back by Clark, followed by Dean.