This originally appeared on
Box Turtle Bulletin.
The late vote tally continues, and Prop 107, the so-called "Protect Marriage Arizona" amendment is continuing its slide toward defeat -- 621,488 (48.5%) for, versus 660,509 (51.5%) against. According to news reports, there are still some 120,000 mail-in ballots yet to be counted, mostly in Maricopa county (Phoenix, Tempe, Scottsdale, Mesa, Glendale and other suburbs). Since Maricopa county is defeating the measure by a nearly three percent margin, we would have to see a very sudden reversal in the trend, and see the remaining ballots break more than two-to-one for the proposed amendment.
So the question now is, what line of reasoning will the Center for Arizona Policy (CAP) take in explaining its defeat?