All House candidates have now submitted their 1st quarter 2006 FEC reports. I have been keeping track of the most competitive races. The following is the long list of where the potentially competitve races stand. I have organized them first by type of seat (open (separated by Dem-held and GOP-held), GOP incumbent, and Dem incumbent) and then by state. There are three numbers after each name separated by slashes: 1st Quarter fundraising total/Total fundraising this cycle/cash on hand. All figures are in thousands of dollars.
Part I (
http://www.dailykos.com/...) covered the 18 competitive open seats (12R, 6D). Part IIa (
http://www.dailykos.com/...) covered the first 28 of the fully 55 competitive races featuring a GOP incumbent (states A-M), plus an update for the open Ohio 06 and 13 since the Ohio numbers weren't in last week. Part IIb here finishes the GOP incumbent races, and Part III will look at the 18 competitive races with a Dem incumbent. In this context, "competitive" can still mean longshot--it just means that the challenger is in place and doing well and the district is not so tilted that lightning couldn't strike. In other words, a lot of these are longshots.
(Sidenote: The open seat list left off OK-05, NE-03, CO-05, and ID-01--four races where we have good candidates with very good fundraising numbers (except OK-05) but I just couldn't see the Dems winning any of the four districts unless a GOP nominee gets busted for kiddie porn the week before the election. If anyone disagrees with my assessment, I'd love to hear it. The same goes for races left off this list.)
There are three numbers after each name separated by slashes: 1st Quarter fundraising total/Total fundraising this cycle/cash on hand. All figures are in thousands of dollars.
GOP incumbents to watch
North Carolina 08
Larry Kissell (D) 74/ 93/ 45
Robin Hayes* (R) 415/1251/1028
North Carolina 11
Heath Shuler (D) 339/ 780/ 552
Charles Taylor* (R) 176/ 811/ 100
Nebraska 01
Maxine Moul (D) 210/ 210/ 179
Jeff Fortenberry*(R) 90/ 664/ 416
New Hampshire 01
Jim Craig (D) 157/ 157/ 151
Gary Dodds (D) 16/ 106/ 10
Jeb Bradley* (R) 104/ 418/ 339
New Hampshire 02
Paul Hodes (D) 215/ 329/ 232
Charles Bass* (R) 102/ 354/ 301
New Jersey 07
Linda Stender (D) 278/ 371/ 309
Mike Ferguson* (R) 371/1534/1123
New Mexico 01
Patricia Madrid (D) 612/1136/ 828
Heather Wilson* (R) 660/1999/1431
Nevada 03
Tessa Hafen (D) 369/ 369/ 363
Jon Porter* (R) 442/1767/1307
New York 19
Judy Aydelott (D) 141/ 466/ 378
Ben Shuldiner (D) 65/ 159/ 128
John Hall (D) 87/ 145/ 59
Darren Rigger (D) 25/ 77/ 45
Sue Kelly* (R) 144/1037/ 975
Jeff Cook (R) 35/ 90/ 1
New York 20
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 345/ 716/ 511
John Sweeney* (R) 401/1181/ 962
New York 25
Dan Maffei (D) 107/ 207/ 175
Paloma Capanna (D) 91/ 114/ 89
Jim Walsh* (R) 83/ 381/ 502
New York 26
Jack Davis (D) 187/ 187/ 98
Tom Reynolds* (R) 440/1989/2680
New York 29
Eric Massa (D) 93/ 311/ 121
Randy Kuhl* (R) 89/ 709/ 440
Ohio 01
John Cranley (D) 347/ 535/ 469
Steve Chabot* (R) 561/ 850/1106
Ohio 15
Mary Jo Kilroy (D) 277/ 449/ 352
Deborah Pryce* (R) 742/1491/1534
Ohio 18
Joe Sulzer (D) 111/ 364/ 172
Zack Space (D) 71/ 145/ 76
Bob Ney* (R) 142/1195/ 474
Pennsylvania 04
Georgia Berner (D) 89/ 430/ 170
Jason Altmire (D) 73/ 186/ 114
Melissa Hart* (R) 153/ 993/ 669
Pennsylvania 06
Lois Murphy (D) 505/1322/ 982
Jim Gerlach* (R) 317/1765/1197
Pennsylvania 07
Joe Sestak (D) 427/ 427/ 396
Curt Weldon* (R) 461/ 720/ 656
Pennsylvania 08
Patrick Murphy (D) 251/ 506/ 327
Andy Warren (D) 71/ 124/ 75
Mike Fitzpatrick* (R) 249/1510/1301
Pennsylvania 10
Chris Carney (D) 83/ 177/ 109
Don Sherwood* (R) 201/ 738/ 619
Texas 32
Will Pryor (D) 95/ 170/ 107
Pete Sessions* (R) 327/1217/1034
Virginia 02
Phil Kellam (D) 260/ 364/ 303
Thelma Drake* (R) 393/ 870/ 530
Virginia 05
Al Weed (D) 65/ 93/ 48
Virgil Goode* (R) 53/ 277/ 466
Washington 08
Darcy Burner (D) 334/ 539/ 357
Dave Reichert* (R) 268/1417/ 725
West Virginia 02
Mike Callaghan (D) 124/ 124/ 81
Richie Robb (D) 50/ 50/ 29
Mark Hunt (D) no FEC report yet
Shelley Capito* (R) 244/ 932/ 713
Wyoming at Large
Gary Trauner (D) 110/ 220/ 157
Barbara Cubin* (R) 126/ 475/ 173