In the not too recent past, I did a
rundown of House and Senate races in the Midwest. One race I touched on briefly was the Ohio 1st, where Cincinnati Councilman
John Cranley was challenging incumbent Republican Rep. Steve Chabot.
I said back then that I thought that Cranley was doing no worse than running even with incumbent Republican Steve Chabot in Ohio's 1st District, which encompasses Cincinnati and its Western suburbs. I was wrong. According to Roll Call a recent poll has Cranley surging ahead of Chabot by nine points.
The Ohio 1st is vastly more Democratic than the Ohio 2nd which Paul Hackett almost won last year. Whereas the 2nd was 60%+ GOP, Ohio's 1st is basically a 50-50 tossup and was held by Dems in the early '90s.
Ohio; Cranley Tops Chabot In Democratic Poll
Cincinnati City Councilman John Cranley (D) has released a poll that shows him leading Rep.
Steve Chabot (R) by 9 points in their 1st district race.
According to the survey, Cranley led Chabot 49 percent to 40 percent. This comes after a Democratic poll taken in July showed the two tied at 45 percent.
"The people of the 1st Congressional District have had enough of Steve Chabot and his rubber-stamp ways in Washington," the Cranley campaign said in a statement.
Both polls were conducted by Democratic pollsters Anzalone Liszt Research, with the most recent compiled July 27 to Aug. 1. The survey of 500 likely voters had a 4.4 percent margin of error.
Not shaping up to be a promising year for Midwest Republicans. Especially the variety known as Ohio GOPers. But that means a bumper crop year of Democrats for us.