My prediction: Hillary will win the Democratic Party nomination in '08 for the following reasons:
- She will have more money than any other candidate. Imagine having Bill Clinton raising money for you? And she is no slouch herself. There will be thousands of TV spots questioning the experience of both Barack Obama and John Edwards. And just try to imagine the type of positive commercials she will run, promoting the work she has done as First Lady and a Senator from New York. Her warchest will be tough to beat.
- Being the only female candidate, she will get the support of a large chunk of the female voting block. This is only a prediction, but to me, it seems obvious.
- Name recognition: Everyone knows who Hillary is. Most people don't follow politics as closely as the political blogsphere does. Perhaps that's why the latest DKos straw poll has her at only 4%, while scientific polls have her leading at 28%
So, whether you agree with me or not, I would like to know how many people at DKos will vote for Hillary if she wins the primary.
Update: If your vote is "No", please state who you would vote for instead.