This is a short diary.
The new numbers from Zogby are very good news for Obama.
Is this the Powell bounce in effect?
Top line for tonight
Obama 49.8%
McCain 44.4%
Which is a an Obama 2 point gain and a loss of .7 for McCain.
From Zogby:
Obama’s gain to nearly 50% support is the highest level of support he has received since the Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking began two weeks ago.
Remember that Zoby uses a static +2 democratic partyId advantage. Which is way too low even compared to 2006, so he is underestimating the spread by about a couple of more points.
Update: According to Reuters, It is actually a 6 point lead in the Zogby poll.
Democrat Barack Obama has expanded his national lead over Republican John McCain in the U.S. presidential race to 6 percentage points, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Monday.
More details:
"Obama has really consolidated his base, and now has huge leads among young people, African-Americans and Hispanics," said pollster John Zogby.
"Reaching 50 percent puts him in winning territory."
Obama also increased his support among two key swing groups that could be vital in the November 4 election. His edge with independents rose from 8 points to 11 points, and his lead among women grew from 6 points to 8 points.