94% of precincts reporting .
Paul J. Carmouche (D) 49% (41794)
John Fleming (R) 47% (39936)
Gerard Bowen (I) 1%
"Catfish" Kelley (I) 3%
Update: Super tight so far; only 77 votes separating the leaders. Still too early to even try and forecast anything.
Update: Carmouche leads!...er, no, Fleming got it back.
Update: The back and forth continues, but with nearly 30% in, Carmouche has his biggest lead of the night.
Update: Fleming turf coming in, Carmouche now just 25 votes ahead. Still 55% of precincts to be counted.
Update: Fleming takes lead, Carmouche takes it back. Don't you DARE touch that dial.
Update: It may actually be almost possible that William Jefferson might lose in LA-02. I would bet heavily against it...but with 16% in, Jefferson is down 54-41.
Update: 83% in. Looks excellent for Carmouche.
Think about this: Dems may pick up an R+7 district, while a Republican just might capture a D+28 district. Jefferson is down 58-39 with 30% in.
Update: Carmouche is still well ahead, though his margin is under 2,000 votes. Fleming-friendly Bossier Parish isn't all in, so he could close substantially, but it looks like Carmouche's to lose at this point.
Jefferson/Cao numbers also starting to even out; with ovr 50% of precincts reporting Cao is up 53-43. I still think Jefferson will win.